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FOREX-Oil-exporter currencies, safe havens rally after Saudi attacks

Published 16/09/2019, 09:17
© Reuters.  FOREX-Oil-exporter currencies, safe havens rally after Saudi attacks
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* Norway's crown, Canadian dollar gain

* Oil importers Turkey, India see currencies weaken

* China's industrial output slows, yuan falls

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON, Sept 16 (Reuters) - Currencies linked to the price

of oil rose on Monday after an attack on Saudi Arabian refining

facilities disrupted global oil supplies, while the Japanese yen

and Swiss franc strengthened as nervous investors sought safety.

Oil prices surged nearly a fifth at one point following the

strikes on two plants, which knocked out more than 5% of global

oil production Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi group

claimed responsibility, but the United States blamed Iran.

The Norwegian crown surged as much as 0.7%, then settled at

8.964 crowns NOK=D3 against the dollar, up 0.3% on the day. It

was also 0.3% ahead versus the euro EURNOK=D3 .

The Canadian dollar rose 0.2% to C$1.3259 CAD=D3 . The

Russian rouble RUB= was also higher.

The currencies of oil importers such as Turkey TRY= and

India INR= underperformed.

Overall, the forex market reaction was limited. A bigger

concern was that a supply-side shock and growing geopolitical

tensions would damage an already fragile global economy, MUFG

analyst Lee Hardman said.

"Downside risks for the global economy would intensify if

geopolitical risks in the region continued to escalate, creating

a more unfavourable environment for high beta emerging market

and high yielding currencies," he said.

The Japanese yen, a common choice for investors seeking

shelter from market uncertainty, rose 0.2% to 107.85 yen per

dollar JPY=EBS . The Swiss franc rallied versus the euro but

was only up 0.1% at 1.0959 EURCHF=EBS by 0730 GMT, suggesting

some calm had returned to markets.

The U.S. dollar slipped 0.1% against a basket of currencies

.DXY . It was little changed versus the euro at $1.1079

EUR=EBS .

CHINA WEAKNESS

In China, data released on Monday showed industrial output

grew in August at its slowest pace in more than 17 years and

retail sales rose less than expected That added to

pressure for stimulus, and in offshore trade the Chinese yuan

CNH=EBS weakened 0.3% to 7.0653 per dollar.

The market focus on Monday was the Middle East, but

attention will also remain on central bank meetings in the

United States and Japan. Expectations the Federal Reserve would

cut interest rates on Wednesday had lessened; now investors are

sure they'll fall and are divided only over how much. FEDWATCH

A third of economists polled by Reuters expect the Bank of

Japan to announce ramped-up stimulus on Thursday. But sources

say it may be a close call -- policymakers will wait to assess

market reaction to the Fed's decision hours earlier.

Japanese markets are closed on Monday for a public holiday.

Sterling, which has soared over the past week on growing

investor confidence that a no-deal Brexit is off the table, fell

0.3% to $1.2466 GBP=D3 . It was down 0.5% against the euro at

88.970 EURGBP=D3 .

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