🥇 First rule of investing? Know when to save! Up to 55% off InvestingPro before BLACK FRIDAYCLAIM SALE

FOREX-Yen soars as virus spread sparks stampede to safety

Published 28/02/2020, 07:13
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yen soars as virus spread sparks stampede to safety
USD/JPY
-
AUD/JPY
-

* Yen rises 0.7% vs dollar, jumps 1.4% on Aussie

* Money markets price 3 Fed cuts by June

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Feb 28 (Reuters) - The Japanese yen returned as a

beacon of safety on Friday, hitting a one-month high against the

dollar, as mounting fears the world was on the cusp of a

pandemic sent global financial markets into a tailspin.

Currency trading has been less panicky than the week's share

market plunge, but the mood is much the same and a jump in U.S.

rate cut expectations has only added to the yen's allure.

The yen JPY= rose 0.7% to a month-high of 108.85 per

dollar on Friday, leaving the greenback down 2.4% for the week,

its biggest loss on the Japanese currency in more than three

years.

Asia's export currencies were crunched. The Australian

dollar tanked 0.7% to a fresh 11-year low on the dollar and it

lost twice as much against the yen AUDJPY=R .

The New Zealand dollar fell 1% on the greenback and 1.7%

against the yen.

"We haven't found any reason to stabilise," said Westpac FX

analyst Sean Callow.

"Every half hour or so we get a new headline about a factory

closure, or a case in a country that hasn't had one

before...this sort of move, it feeds on itself."

Hopes the coronavirus outbreak could be contained in China

have vanished this week as infections spread around the globe.

The Aussie AUD=D3 last bought $0.6519 and the kiwi

NZD=D3 sat at a four-month low of $0.6233.

ANZ analysts said, if the outbreak worsened, the Aussie

could go as low as $0.58 and the kiwi to $0.55.

"The current degree of uncertainty makes it prudent to think

about where the AUD and NZD may fall," said ANZ FX head Daniel

Been.

SEISMIC SHIFT

While much is still unknown about the virus, measures to

contain it have wreaked havoc on supply chains, the world's

economy and financial markets. MKTS./GLOB

In currencies, the most marked shift this week has been the

pause in the dollar's advance as markets dramatically re-price

the chance of the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering interest rates.

Investors are now expecting three Fed cuts by mid-year

0#FF: , beginning with one in March which had been rated just a

9% chance a week ago. FEDWATCH

That sent the euro sharply higher overnight, as investors

unwind carry trades, and has offered a slight brake on the

massive flight from Asian currencies. But there are few other

places for money storming out of Asia to go.

"Until the virus data says otherwise, the trading strategies

should probably still err (towards safety)," Deutsche Bank

strategist Alan Ruskin said in a note. "Buy gold, short oil," he

said.

"Initially, the dollar weakness is expected to be only

modest versus alternatives like the yen, franc and euro; and,

the dollar should strengthen versus commodity FX and emerging

markets' currencies."

(Editing by Sam Holmes and Jacqueline Wong)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.