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FOREX-Yen, Swiss franc fall on U.S.-China trade deal optimism

Published 04/12/2019, 21:36
Updated 04/12/2019, 21:45
FOREX-Yen, Swiss franc fall on U.S.-China trade deal optimism
USD/JPY
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USD/CHF
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* U.S. private-sector payrolls report misses expectations

* U.S. ISM services index falls in November

* U.S.-China trade deal still in focus

* Sterling gains lifts euro as well

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Recasts, adds new comment, updates prices)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Dec 4 (Reuters) - The safe-haven yen and Swiss franc fell on Wednesday, as risk appetite

improved, after more positive rhetoric on U.S.-China trade negotiations from U.S. President Donald Trump.

The yen earlier rose to two-week highs against the dollar, while the Swiss franc climbed to four-week

peaks as trade uncertainty persisted.

Those concerns, though, eased as the New York session got underway after Trump said on Wednesday that

trade talks with China were going "very well." He sounded more positive than on Tuesday when he said a

trade deal might have to wait until after the November 2020 U.S. presidential election. "Today's news is more about optimism on a U.S.-China trade deal," said Brendan McKenna, currency

strategist at Wells Fargo in New York. "That's probably why we're seeing some of the safe-haven currencies

such as the yen, dollar, and Swiss franc sell off, while some of the emerging market currencies

outperform."

U.S. economic data was also a focus for currency investors, especially after weaker-than-expected U.S.

private-sector jobs data on Wednesday and a soft services report that fueled worries about a slowdown in

the world's largest economy.

A private survey showed that U.S. private-sector hiring in November unexpectedly slowed to its weakest

pace in six months, as goods producers and construction companies cut jobs.

U.S. companies' jobs rose by 67,000 last month, the ADP National Employment Report said. The median

forecast among economists polled by Reuters called for a gain of 140,000 jobs. Following the soft payrolls report, data showed that the U.S. service sector slowed in November, with

the Institute for Supply Management's non-manufacturing index falling to 53.9 in November from 54.7 the

previous month. The weaker-than-expected U.S. services report came after poor U.S. manufacturing data earlier this

week.

"It's fair to say that the U.S. economy is slowing down," said Wells Fargo's McKenna. "But is it

slowing down enough that the Federal Reserve will have to cut rates again? I think it's a little too early

tell at this point."

He added that the Fed is likely in a wait-and-see mode on whether some of the measures they have

recently undertaken have filtered down to the real economy.

The Fed, at its last monetary policy meeting, said it was on hold after cutting interest rates three

times this year. But some analysts suggested that the Fed may have to reconsider that stance if U.S.

economic data continues to underwhelm going forward.

In afternoon trading, the dollar index slipped 0.1% to 97.648 .DXY , after earlier dropping to a

one-month low of 97.433.

Against the yen, the dollar rose 0.2% to 108.90 yen JPY= , while gaining 0.2% versus the Swiss franc

to 0.9895 franc CHF= .

Sterling, meanwhile, gained 0.7% versus the dollar to $1.3090 GBP=D3 , lifted by growing expectations

that Britain will avoid a hung parliament after next week's election. Currency bid prices at 3:25 PM (2025 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1077 $1.1081 -0.04% -3.42% +1.1115 +1.1067

Dollar/Yen JPY= 108.8600 108.6200 +0.22% -1.27% +108.9600 +108.4400

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 120.62 120.37 +0.21% -4.44% +120.7900 +120.1100

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9887 0.9869 +0.18% +0.74% +0.9899 +0.9856

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.3099 1.2992 +0.82% +2.68% +1.3120 +1.2983

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3194 1.3294 -0.75% -3.25% +1.3297 +1.3192

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6851 0.6846 +0.07% -2.81% +0.6855 +0.6813

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0956 1.0935 +0.19% -2.65% +1.0968 +1.0922

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8454 0.8527 -0.86% -5.90% +0.8531 +0.8454

NZ NZD= 0.6530 0.6519 +0.17% -2.78% +0.6540 +0.6504

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 9.1663 9.1819 -0.17% +6.11% +9.2150 +9.1523

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.1558 10.1830 -0.27% +2.52% +10.2126 +10.1524

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.5076 9.5314 -0.23% +6.07% +9.5568 +9.4904

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.5345 10.5588 -0.23% +2.63% +10.5920 +10.5339

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