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FOREX-Yen, Swiss franc soar as risk appetite plunges on oil, coronavirus

Published 09/03/2020, 15:11
Updated 09/03/2020, 15:18
FOREX-Yen, Swiss franc soar as risk appetite plunges on oil, coronavirus
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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DX
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US10YT=X
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* Yen soars to three-year high with 3% jump

* Euro leaps more than 1% as U.S. yields crater

* FX volatility surges as carry trades unwound

* Oil-exposed currencies plunge

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Updates prices, adds new comment, changes byline, dateline; previous LONDON)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, March 9 (Reuters) - The safe-haven yen and Swiss franc surged on Monday, as risk appetite

plummeted after a 30% crash in oil prices and tumbling stock markets panicked investors and sent currency

prices swinging wildly.

Investors were also alarmed after U.S. Treasury yields declined to record lows, with the benchmark

10-year yield falling below 40 basis points US10YT=RR and the entire yield curve below 1% for the first

time ever.

That further increased nervousness in the market already rattled by weeks of wild moves, as investors

struggled to assess the economic damage caused by the coronavirus.

"This is all a combination of both the oil story and the coronavirus," said Edward Moya, senior market

analyst, at OANDA in New York.

"The overall take is that we are going to have a lower oil price environment for the foreseeable

future. This is a big risk event and is putting a lot of fire into risk aversion and we will see this for

a couple more weeks," he added.

Oil prices fell 30% after Saudi Arabia pledged to slash prices and boost production following the

collapse of an OPEC supply agreement. O/R

On the coronavirus front, the number of people infected with the virus topped 110,000 across the world

as the outbreak reached more countries and caused more economic damage. As a result, currency volatility shot up.

A gauge of volatility in the euro/dollar market - the world's most-traded currency pair - shot to its

highest since April 2017 as the euro surged more than 1% to its strongest since January 2019.

Dollar-yen one-month implied volatility surged to an 11-year high at more than 18% JPY1MO=FN as the

dollar slid to its weakest since 2016.

In hectic trade, the dollar fell as low as 101.20 JPY= , its lowest in more than three years. It was

last down 3.2% at 10.82 yen.

The yen was headed for its largest three-day gain since the 2008 financial crisis. It is up around 9%

in a dozen trading days.

The euro EUR= rallied 1.3% to $1.1425 after earlier touching $1.1492.

The dollar index dropped to its weakest since September 2018, and was last at 95.039, down 0.5%

=USD .

The dollar also dropped 1% against the Swiss franc to 0.9280 CHF= .

There were also big moves in currencies linked to oil prices.

Norway's crown tumbled to record lows. The euro added 4% against the crown to 10.857 EURNOK=D3 and

the dollar gained 2.8% to 9.509 crowns NOK=D3 .

The Canadian dollar shed 1.3% against the greenback, which was up at C$1.3598 CAD=D3 .

The Australian AUD=D3 and New Zealand NZD=D3 dollars earlier fell nearly 2% before bouncing back.

"For growth-sensitive and for oil-sensitive currencies, it's far too early to pick a bottom," said Kit

Juckes, a strategist at Societe Generale, predicting that the Norwegian crown and Canadian dollars would

get weaker.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 10:04AM (1404 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1426 $1.1285 +1.25% +1.93% +1.1492 +1.1286

Dollar/Yen JPY= 102.2200 105.3000 -2.92% -6.10% +104.9100 +101.2000

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 116.80 118.90 -1.77% -4.22% +118.6500 +116.1400

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9290 0.9372 -0.87% -4.01% +0.9375 +0.9194

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.3102 1.3047 +0.42% -1.18% +1.3199 +1.3033

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3573 1.3423 +1.12% +4.52% +1.3759 +1.3463

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6613 0.6645 -0.48% -5.81% +0.6634 +0.6323

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0616 1.0583 +0.31% -2.17% +1.0621 +1.0544

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8719 0.8650 +0.80% +3.13% +0.8769 +0.8658

NZ NZD= 0.6358 0.6355 +0.05% -5.61% +0.6371 +0.6158

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 9.5106 9.2520 +2.80% +8.34% +9.6748 +9.2957

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.9077 10.4350 +4.53% +10.87% +10.9940 +10.4380

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.4216 9.3886 +1.57% +0.79% +9.4453 +9.3091

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.7672 10.6012 +1.57% +2.85% +10.7705 +10.6030

U.S. dollar vs Japanese yen https://tmsnrt.rs/3cHaTBt

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