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FOREX-Yen up, yuan down over China virus fears; Aussie jumps on jobs data

Published 23/01/2020, 06:14
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yen up, yuan down over China virus fears; Aussie jumps on jobs data
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* Yen at 2-week high, yuan at 2-week low on virus fears

* Aussie jumps as unemployment unexpectedly drops

* Pound at three-week peak as rate cut bets subside

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Jan 23 (Reuters) - The safe-haven Japanese yen

firmed and the Chinese yuan weakened on Thursday, as traders

kept a wary eye on the spread of a virus in China, while the

battered Australian dollar jumped after a surprise drop in

unemployment.

Deaths from the flu-like coronavirus stand at 17. Almost 600

people are infected and China has locked down Wuhan, a city of

11 million people, where the outbreak was believed to have

originated at an animal market. The currency moves, while modest, extend a push for safety

that began on Tuesday and had partially reversed on Wednesday.

MKTS/GLOB

"Yesterday we thought it was one sell-off and done...today

it's a bit of a slap back to reality," said Chris Weston, Head

of Research at Melbourne brokerage Pepperstone.

"The fact that USD/CNH is up is because people are seeing

signs that there has to be some sort of stimulus on the back of

this. People are seeing this impact economics."

The dollar hit its strongest in two weeks against the

falling yuan, which traded at 6.9254 midsession CNY= .

The Japanese yen JPY= , seen as a haven by virtue of

Japan's position as the world's largest creditor, rose 0.2% to a

two-week high of 109.56 per dollar as investors sought safety.

Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries also edged lower

to a two-week trough US10YT=RR as bond prices rose.

The U.S. dollar was otherwise firm, rising a bit against the

euro EUR= and kiwi NZD=D3 and edging up to 97.552 against a

basket of currencies .DXY .

The World Health Organization will decide later on Thursday

whether to declare the situation a global health emergency.

A major concern is that the virus could spread quickly as

millions of people travel across China, and the world, to

celebrate the Lunar New Year in their hometowns.

"China's efforts to be transparent is a reprieve for

markets, but our suspicion is that cautiousness is likely to

remain a near-term theme nonetheless," said Rodrigo Catril,

senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank in Sydney.

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar AUD=D3 , which has shed

more than a cent this year as the domestic economy stalls,

jumped 0.5% to $0.6879 after jobs data showed a surprising drop

in unemployment to a nine-month low. It settled back to $0.6866, but the strong number - the

28,900 jobs created in December was nearly double what analysts

had expected - prompted an unwinding of bets that the central

bank will cut rates next month.

Analysts at ANZ, Commonwealth Bank and Citi all dropped

predictions for a reduction, and futures pricing showed the

probability of a cut in February fall from an even chance to

about one-in-four. 0#YIB

The British pound GBP= sat a fraction below a three-week

high at $1.3125, after an overnight rebound in manufacturing

sentiment prompted investors to trim rate cut bets. BOEWATCH

Factories' optimism about the outlook rose to the highest

since August 2014, according to a quarterly survey from the

Confederation of British Industry. The focus for the pound now

turns to broader business surveys due on Friday.

(Editing by Michael Perry and Jacqueline Wong)

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