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Investing.com - The U.S. dollar is on track for a weekly loss, and traders holding long positions are starting to have cold feet, according to Bank of America Securities.
At 04:30 ET (09:30 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.4% lower to 106.745, dropping to a three-week low and on course for a loss of around 1% this week.
The U.S. bank said that investors that it surveyed are warming to U.S. duration, with fewer expecting the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to peak above 5% this year and more seeing its trough below 4%.
This translates into a cooling off on the U.S. dollar, analysts at Bank of America said, in a note dated Feb. 14, citing somewhat increased concerns around a U.S. growth slowdown and lack of faith in ongoing U.S. exceptionalism.
The investors anticipate the first quarter to mark the dollar’s high for the year, the bank said, with more investors now simply lacking conviction for the rest of the year.
That said, BofA also noted that investors also added to their Europe duration longs, both in core and in periphery, which is likely in line with their renewed concern around euro area inflation undershooting the target this year and expectation of a sub-2% European Central Bank terminal rate.
“The higher Euro area bearishness could be partly fed by the more modest expectations around German fiscal policy, particularly in the near term, and the higher tariffs risks,” BofA said. “We then suspect the reduction in EUR shorts has more to do with risks around U.S. growth.”