Bitcoin price today: gains to $120k, near record high on U.S. regulatory cheer
Recent news indicating that the U.S. administration intends to grant tariff exemptions to several countries has mitigated concerns over a potentially unfavorable review outcome.
However, UBS suggests that if the forthcoming announcement deviates from market expectations, currencies like the Euro (EUR) and the Swedish Krona (SEK) could face pressure.
The possibility also exists that the announcement might not offer definitive answers, instead extending the current period of tariff uncertainty that has persisted for two months. This prolonged ambiguity may not be well-received by the markets, especially considering the current trend of declining U.S. consumer confidence indicators.
UBS acknowledges that while an indefinite delay in tariff decisions could theoretically be seen as positive compared to the implementation of aggressive tariffs, market reactions could be negatively influenced by the prospect of continuous uncertainty.
UBS maintains a cautious stance on this issue, holding positions that would benefit from a resurgence in tariff-related market volatility. Specifically, the firm holds a strategic position with a 1.0800 EUR call with a 1.0630 knock-in option, reflecting its preparedness for potential currency fluctuations linked to the upcoming trade policy announcement.
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