WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Uganda, Nigeria currencies seen soft, Tanzania's firm

Published 12/03/2020, 15:48
Updated 12/03/2020, 15:54
WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Uganda, Nigeria currencies seen soft, Tanzania's firm

KAMPALA, March 12 (Reuters) - Ugandan and Nigerian

currencies are expected to come under pressure next week, but

Tanzania's is seen firming while Kenya's holds steady.

UGANDA

The Ugandan shilling UGX= is expected to trade with a

weakening tone over the next few days as the disruption to

international trade links and tourism caused by the coronavirus

pandemic trims inflows of hard currency.

At 1110 GMT, commercial banks quoted the shilling at

3,710/3,720, compared with last Thursday's close of 3,700/3,710.

"The tourism sector is being hurt badly and the commodity

export sector ... the dollar supply side is getting squeezed,"

said a trader from a leading commercial bank.

He said the shilling would likely weaken past 3,720 in the

coming days as the global economic impact of the coronavirus

snowballs.

NIGERIA

Nigeria's naira NGN= is seen easing next week amid fears

of a possible devaluation in the wake an oil price collapse that

has worsened dollar shortages in the West African nation,

traders said.

The naira was quoted at 370 on the over-the-counter market

on Thursday, weaker than the 368 per dollar in the previous

session.

Traders said liquidity was tight amid a surge in demand. The

naira has also been weakening on the black market. However, the

central bank has been helping to keep the naira stable at 306.95

on the official market.

The impact of the oil price plunge over the weekend has

spread across asset classes in Nigeria, causing investors to

widen spreads on the bond market, sell stocks and weaken the

naira.

TANZANIA

The Tanzanian shilling TZS= is expected to gain further

next week due to the decline in demand for dollars.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 2,296/2,306 on

Thursday, up from 2,299/2,309 recorded a week earlier.

"The demand of dollars has declined because of slowed

importation due to coronavirus. We expect the shilling to gain

further next week as there will be no pressure to the local

currency," a trader in one of the commercial banks said.

KENYA

The Kenyan shilling KES= is seen stable in the coming

week, with inflows from non-governmental organisations helping

ease dollar demand from commercial banks and importers, traders

said.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 102.40/60 per

dollar, compared with 102.50/70 at last Thursday's close.

"There are a number of NGOs in the market looking to buy

shillings," said a senior trader from one commercial bank.

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