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WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Ugandan shilling seen weakening after rate cut

Published 10/10/2019, 14:44
Updated 10/10/2019, 14:50
WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Ugandan shilling seen weakening after rate cut
USD/TZS
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USD/ZMK
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NAIROBI, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Uganda's shilling was seen

weakening next week while traders said the Tanzanian and Zambian

currencies would likely hold their ground.

UGANDA

The Ugandan shilling will likely weaken further next week,

undermined by negative sentiment after the central bank trimmed

its policy rate by 100 basis points on Monday, traders said.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 3,690/3,700 against

the U.S. dollar on Thursday, weaker than last Thursday's close

of 3,675/3,685.

"We have generally seen the shilling bend on the weakening

side as the rate move feeds a negative sentiment and I think

that knee-jerk reaction will go on for some time," said a trader

at a leading commercial bank.

The Bank of Uganda cut its policy rate to 9% from 10% on

Monday, saying it needed to stimulate growth amid low inflation.

The Tanzanian shilling TZS= will likely hold its ground in

coming weeks, underpinned by the start of the cashew season,

traders said.

On Thursday commercial banks quoted the shilling at

2,294/2,304 against the dollar, nearly the same level as a week

"The shilling will be more stable next week and even

throughout the month to November because the cashew nut season

is starting," said a forex trader from a commercial bank in Dar

es Salaam.

ZAMBIA

The Kwacha ZMW= was quoted at 13.1300 per dollar on

Thursday, slightly stronger than the close of 13.1400 a week

"The kwacha seems to have established a new equilibrium

level above $1/K13.000 and will likely trade above this level in

the medium to long term," Cavmont Bank said in a note.

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