WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Zambia, Uganda currencies seen bearish, others stable

Published 06/02/2020, 13:32
Updated 06/02/2020, 13:36
WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Zambia, Uganda currencies seen bearish, others stable
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LUSAKA, Feb 6 (Reuters) - Zambian and Ugandan currencies are

likely to trade on the back foot next week while those of

Tanzania, Kenya and Nigeria are expected to hold steady.

ZAMBIA

The kwacha ZMW= is likely to come under pressure next

week, largely driven by sentiment after tax payments due this

coming Monday.

On Thursday, commercial banks quoted the currency of

Africa's second-largest copper producer at 14.6200 from a close

of 14.7560 a week ago.

"With copper trading much lower, sentiment will naturally be

bearish," the Zambian branch of South Africa's First National

Bank (FNB) said in a note.

UGANDA

The Ugandan shilling UGX= is expected to weaken as some

foreign-owned firms buy dollars as they prepare to pay last

year's dividends.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 3,670/3,680,

compared to last Thursday's close of 3,673/3,683.

"We anticipate that firms preparing to pay dividends will be

buying hard currency starting this month," said a trader at a

leading commercial bank.

"That demand pressure will likely weaken the local unit."

TANZANIA

Tanzania's shilling TZS= is expected to hold steady next

week due to the balance between the supply of dollars and demand

in the market.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 2,305/15, the same

levels recorded a week earlier.

"We expect the shilling to be more stable next week in the

same levels as this week with supply of dollars matching the

demand," a trader in one commercial bank in Dar es Salaam said.

KENYA

The Kenyan shilling KES= is seen stable in the coming week

with inflows from remittances and offshore investors buying

government paper matching dollar demand from merchandise

importers, traders said.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 100.30/50 per

dollar, compared with 100.55/75 at last Thursday's close.

"Market looks well balanced, demand and supply are well

matched ... a lot of importers are holding off because they

think the shilling might strengthen further," said a senior

trader from one commercial bank.

NIGERIA

Nigeria's naira NGN= is seen stable next week after it

eased due to scarce U.S. dollar inflows as weak sentiment

worsened by fears that the coronavirus outbreak would hit

Chinese demand, traders said.

The naira eased to around 364 per dollar on the

over-the-counter market, a level it traded since last week. The

currency was quoted at 361 just before the effects of the virus

outbreak hit the local market.

Traders said the market has been on bid with little supply

as central bank treasury auctions designed to attract foreign

investors fail to lift dollar liquidity. The bank has been

helping to meet some demand, keeping the naira stable.

"There's risk aversion following the impact of coronavirus

on oil prices. This is not a plus for us at this time," one

trader said.

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