Deutsche Boerse stock edges higher as FY25 guidance meets consensus

Published 12/02/2025, 10:04
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Shares of Deutsche Boerse (ETR:DB1Gn.DE) climbed 1% as the company reported fourth-quarter earnings that aligned with consensus estimates and provided FY25 guidance that met market expectations. The company’s EBITDA exceeded analyst predictions by 3%, primarily due to higher results from financial investments.

Deutsche Boerse’s fourth-quarter net revenue of €1.55 billion was slightly ahead of the consensus estimate of €1.54 billion, with various sectors such as Trading & Clearing and Fund Services outperforming expectations. Notably, Software (ETR:SOWGn) Solutions revenue increased by 6% compared to the same quarter last year, with an annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth of 17% year-over-year (YoY).

Operating expenses for the quarter were reported at €700 million, including €18 million of one-off costs to achieve Investment Management Solutions (IMS) synergies. This resulted in a headline EBITDA of €870 million, which is 3% above consensus, driven by a €23 million boost from financial investments, leading to an EBITDA margin of 56.2%.

For the fiscal year 2025, Deutsche Boerse anticipates net revenue excluding treasury results to be around €5.2 billion and more than €6.0 billion including treasury income. EBITDA is expected to be approximately €2.7 billion, rising to over €3.5 billion with treasury income. These projections are consistent with consensus estimates, which foresee revenues of €6.0 billion and EBITDA of €3.5 billion. The company also expects organic cost growth to be around 3% and forecasts a tax rate of 27%.

Additionally, Deutsche Boerse announced a €0.5 billion buyback program, which represents about 1.1% of its market capitalization, a move that was seen as a modest positive surprise compared to consensus expectations.

On the strategic front, Deutsche Boerse is exploring options for the potential exit of the ISS STOXX minority shareholder, including a possible listing in Frankfurt or the US, as well as a buyout of General Atlantic’s approximately 20% stake.

In terms of trading performance, first-quarter-to-date (1QTD) key performance indicators suggest that Eurex is tracking 9% below consensus expectations, with index derivatives and interest rate derivatives average daily volume (ADV) trailing the previous year, while equity derivatives ADV showed a significant increase.

Jefferies analysts commented on the company’s performance, stating, "Consistently strong progression in Software Services will be required to drive a further re-rating, in our view."

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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