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Direct Digital shares target cut to $23 from $30, maintains buy rating

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 27/03/2024, 13:56
Updated 27/03/2024, 13:56

On Wednesday, Direct Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:DRCT) experienced a revision in its stock outlook, as a Benchmark analyst adjusted the price target to $23.00, down from the previous $30.00, while keeping a Buy rating.

The company reported earnings that did not meet the expectations set by consensus revenue estimates, falling short by $25 million. Despite this shortfall, the company still managed to achieve a year-over-year revenue growth of 35%.

The analyst noted that Direct Digital's fiscal year 2024 revenue guidance, ranging from $170-190 million, was $60 million below the midpoint of Street estimates. This guidance aligns more closely with the revenue figures that were anticipated for the year 2023. The company's management has attributed the lower projections to their decision to transition to a cookie-less environment ahead of schedule, a move that is currently being tested with several top-tier publishers.

The transition to a cookie-less environment is seen as a significant factor, especially in light of the ongoing disputes between Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and the European Union, as well as between Google and various alternative identity providers. The company's success in adapting to this new landscape is uncertain but could lead to renewed revenue growth if the strategy proves effective and execution is strong.

The analyst remains optimistic about Direct Digital's future, suggesting that the company's healthy partner pipeline and potential for wallet share gains could contribute to accelerating revenue growth. Despite the immediate need to reduce revenue, EBITDA, and price target projections to reflect the current situation, the analyst hinted at the possibility of upward revisions over the course of the year, based on historical trends.

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InvestingPro Insights

Direct Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:DRCT) has been navigating through a challenging period, as reflected in the recent adjustments to the company's stock outlook. In light of recent developments, it's valuable to consider some insights based on real-time data and InvestingPro Tips.

InvestingPro Data shows that Direct Digital has a market capitalization of $378.31M, with an adjusted P/E ratio of 70.07 for the last twelve months as of Q3 2023. The company stands out with a remarkable revenue growth of 105.32% during the same period, showcasing its ability to expand despite the broader industry challenges.

An InvestingPro Tip notes that analysts are anticipating sales growth in the current year, which aligns with the company's proactive strategies, such as transitioning to a cookie-less environment. Additionally, Direct Digital's stock has experienced significant price volatility, with a one-week price total return showing a decline of 16.61%, yet a six-month price total return soaring to 968.95%.

For readers interested in gaining a deeper understanding of Direct Digital's financial health and stock performance, there are more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed through https://www.investing.com/pro/DRCT. Currently, there are 20 additional tips listed that offer nuanced insights into the company's operations and market position.

Investors and analysts alike may find these tips particularly useful when evaluating the potential of Direct Digital as it adapts to new digital advertising landscapes. To gain full access to these insights, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro. This offer could be a valuable resource for those looking to make informed investment decisions based on comprehensive, real-time data and expert analysis.

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