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European stocks to outperform US over the next 12 months - Goldman

Published 08/04/2024, 14:54
© Reuters
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STOXX
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Goldman Sachs forecasts better 12-month returns on STOXX Europe than the S&P 500, analysts at the firm said in a note Monday.

The bank notes that European equity trades at a deep discount to the US, far more so than historically.

"Some of this is AI-related, but actually the bigger gaps are found in sectors outside tech, in areas like Financials, Energy and Consumer Discretionary," they explained.

As a result, Goldman Sachs analysts believe this represents an opportunity for investors. However, they are "more convinced by the cyclical trade to buy Europe than the structural one."

"For the cyclical bounce we highlight selective value cyclicals (Banks and Energy) and consumer cyclicals (which benefit as inflation falls and real incomes rise), Business Services, Travel & Leisure, we also think small caps offer value and should benefit from both the cyclical upswing and a modest rise in M&A activity," said the bank.

Despite the positivity, analysts at Goldman Sachs highlighted structural woes in Europe, such as low capital allocation to equity and low liquidity, low trend economic growth, and politics and regulation.

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