Two 59%+ winners, four above 25% in Aug – How this AI model keeps picking winners
* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
* Nikkei down, S&P 500 futures ease
* Corporate earnings, factory surveys loom for the week
* U.S. May crude futures tumble to 1999-low on supply glut
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, April 20 (Reuters) - Caution gripped Asian share
markets on Monday on expectations a busy week of corporate
earnings reports and economic data will drive home the damage
done by the global virus lockdown, while a glut of supply sent
U.S. crude spiralling to 20-year lows.
Japan reported its exports fell almost 12% in March from a
year earlier, with shipments to the United States down over 16%.
Early readings on April manufacturing globally are due on
Thursday and are expected to show recession-like readings.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS eased 0.2% in slow trade, with a pause needed
after five straight weeks of gains. Japan's Nikkei .N225 fell
0.9% and Shanghai blue chips .CSI300 2.4% even as China cut
benchmark interest rates as widely expected. E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 slipped 0.2%, having
jumped last week on hopes some U.S. states would soon start to
re-open their economies. .N
U.S. President Donald Trump said Sunday that Republicans
were "close" to getting a deal with Democrats on a support
package for small business. But the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
reported an increase of 29,916 in new infections and said the
number of deaths had risen by 1,759 to 37,202. The S&P 500 .SPX has still rallied 30% from its March low,
thanks in part to the extreme easing steps taken by the Federal
Reserve. The Fed has bought nearly $1.3 trillion of Treasuries
alone, and many billions of non-sovereign debt it would
historically have never gone near.
"The Fed will be a major buyer of risky assets in the coming
months, and has displayed its willingness to backstop virtually
any part of the domestic financial system in trouble," said
Oliver Jones, a senior markets economist at Capital Economics.
Yet the particular composition of the S&P 500 was also a
major factor, he added, as three sectors relatively resilient to
a virus-induced lockdown -- IT, communications services and
healthcare -- make up around 50% of the index.
Indeed, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet and Facebook
account for more than a fifth of the index.
"What's more, the S&P 500 is skewed towards a few
ultra-large firms, some of which are also in those sectors.
Their sheer size might make them better able to weather a few
months of dramatically-low revenues than most."
The rebound in the S&P 500 therefore likely overstated
optimism on the economy, Jones argued, noting European benchmark
equities indices and U.S. small cap indices were still in bear
market territory.
Bond markets suggested investors expected tough economic
times ahead with yields on U.S. 10-year Treasuries US10YT=RR
steady at 0.64%, from 1.91% at the start of the year.
That decline has shrunk the U.S. dollar's yield advantage
over its peers and left it rangebound in recent weeks. So far in
April, the dollar index =USD has wandered between 98.813 and
100.940 and was last at 99.837.
The dollar was a fraction firmer on the yen on Monday at
107.77 JPY= but again well within recent ranges, while the
euro idled at $1.0868 EUR= .
Gold had recoiled to $1,679 per ounce XAU= , having touched
a 7-1/2 peak of $1,746.50 last week. GOL/
Oil prices remained under pressure as the global lockdown
saw fuel demand evaporate, leaving so much extra supply
countries were finding it hard to find space to store it. O/R
So great was the near-term glut that the May futures
contract for U.S. crude was trading down 15% at $15.54 a barrel
CLc1 , while June shed 5% to $23.71 CLc2 .
Brent crude LCOc1 does not have the same storage problems
and its June contract was off only 25 cents at $27.83 a barrel.
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(Editing by Sam Holmes)