Intel cut at HSBC as analysts question sustainability of deal-driven rally

Published 08/10/2025, 13:44
Updated 08/10/2025, 14:04
© Reuters

Investing.com -- HSBC analysts downgraded Intel Corp to Reduce from Hold, saying the chipmaker’s 55% rally since August is driven by one-off investment deals rather than lasting improvement in its manufacturing.

Intel’s turnaround still hinges on fixing its foundry operations, which continue to face execution failures and weak customer traction.

“A TSMC technology deal – which we think is the only one that matters – is unlikely despite potential for future investments,” analysts at HSBC said.

Intel has announced three investment deals in recent months: a $2 billion stake from SoftBank, $11.1 billion from the U.S. government for a 9.9% holding, and a $5 billion investment from NVIDIA for about 4%.

While these helped lift sentiment, HSBC said the optimism is overdone as none address the structural issues in Intel’s foundry business.

There are media reports that Intel is seeking investments from Apple and TSMC. It could bring short-term upside but HSBC reiterated that only a technology-sharing agreement with TSMC could meaningfully improve its manufacturing capabilities.

Analysts see this as a remote possibility given TSMC’s own massive U.S. investments.

Intel has also struck a deal with NVIDIA, where the companies will focus on connecting NVIDIA and Intel architectures to integrate NVIDIA’s AI and accelerated computing with Intel’s x86 CPU technology.

HSBC flagged limited visibility on the NVIDIA partnership, noting that the opportunity is hard to quantify since NVIDIA will continue using Arm-based CPUs in its server platforms through 2029.

The analysts cut their rating to Reduce with a $24 price target, citing weak foundry prospects and lack of clarity around client and server demand.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.