Novo Nordisk, Eli Lilly fall after Trump comments on weight loss drug pricing
Investing.com -- JPMorgan has double upgraded Klepierre shares to Overweight from Underweight, citing stronger capital value growth expectations and raising its December 2026 price target to €38 from €31, implying 18% upside from the last close.
Shares in the French mall operator rose 1.7% in Paris trading.
The bank acknowledges that its earlier bearish stance, based on consumer weakness, has not materialised, with the stock up 14% year-to-date relative to the EPRA Index.
Analysts say the resilience of the retail property segment has been demonstrated by first-half 2025 (1H25) results, and they now expect Klepierre to sustain the 6% EBITDA growth pace into the second half, above the company’s guidance of 5% for the full year.
While that operational strength is widely recognised by investors, analysts argue that the key overlooked driver is capital value appreciation.
“Our analysis suggests that Klepierre’s capital value growth potential is being underestimated: we sit 5% above BBG consensus for NTA over the next three years,” the team led by Vanessa Guy wrote. They add that they are on average 5% above consensus NTA forecasts through 2027.
EPRA Net Tangible Assets (NTA) per share rose 4.6% in the first half of the year, helped by a 2.6% uplift in property valuations, and JPMorgan forecasts an 11% increase for full-year 2025 (FY25).
French IPD data also backs the case for retail capital growth, with retail property delivering the strongest performance in the latest half-year, supported by positive return on capital and revenue growth.
Analysts flag a 6% dividend yield and a 12x FY25 forward P/E multiple versus 17x for the sector. They also note that Klepierre now trades at just a 3% discount to net asset value (NAV) compared with a long-term average discount of 15%.
The team says net debt to EBITDA is expected to continue trending lower, creating room for accretive deals. They highlight that recent acquisitions have been performing strongly, with RomaEst delivering around 25% rental income growth and O’Parinor around 20% since purchase.
They also point to upcoming asset contributions as a further support, noting the Odysseum extension in Montpellier is due to open in the second half with a 9% yield on cost.
While political uncertainty in France persists, analysts said they would treat any volatility caused by this uncertainty as a buying opportunity, in line with the bank’s broader “buy on weakness” stance on French risk.