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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks crumble as deadly coronavirus spreads, safe havens in demand

Published 28/01/2020, 02:20
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks crumble as deadly coronavirus spreads, safe havens in demand
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* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Asian shares slip on coronavirus fears

* Safe-haven demand rises, risk assets sell off

* Virus contagion regional, rather than global shock -

JPMorgan

By Swati Pandey and Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Asian stocks extended a global

selloff on Tuesday as China took more drastic steps to combat

the coronavirus, while bonds found favour on expectations

central banks would need to keep stimulus flowing to offset the

likely economic drag.

As the death toll reached 100 and the virus spread to more

than 10 countries, including France, Japan and the United

States, some health experts questioned whether China can contain

the epidemic. China has already extended the Lunar New Year holiday to

Feb. 2 nationally, and to Feb. 9 for Shanghai. On Tuesday, the

country's largest steelmaking city in northern Hebei province,

Tangshan, suspended all public transit in an effort to prevent

the spread of the virus.

With Chinese markets shut investors were selling the

offshore yuan CNH= and the Australian dollar AUD=D3 as a

proxy for risk.

"The wildcard is not the fatality rate, but how infectious

the Wuhan virus is," Citi economists wrote in a note.

"The economic impact will depend on how successfully this

outbreak is contained."

Analysts said travel and tourism would be the hardest-hit

sectors together with retail and liquor sales though healthcare

and online shopping were seen as likely outperformers.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS slipped 0.8% in early Asian trading on Tuesday.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 was 0.7% down, Australian shares .AXJO

stumbled 1.3% and South Korea's Kospi index .KS11 skidded

2.6%.

On Monday, key indexes for British, French and German equity

markets slid more than 2%, as did pan-European markets on

worries about the potential economic impact from the deadly

virus. Stocks on Wall Street fell more than 1%.

E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 reversed some of the

losses after slumping 1.6% overnight for their biggest single

day percentage loss since last October. They were last up 0.25%.

Analysts at JPMorgan said the coronavirus outbreak was an

"unexpected risk factor" for markets though they see the

contagion as a regional rather than a global shock.

"The rise in risk aversion and worry of a region-wide demand

shock ... means the knee-jerk market reaction will likely be to

richen low-yielding government bonds," JPMorgan analysts wrote

in a note.

"Concerns about coronavirus contagion has driven yields

lower and is the latest risk of a series that have driven U.S.

Treasury (UST) yields far below what fundamentals indicate. We

remain short 30-year UST."

Treasury 10-year note yields US10YT=RR dived as deep as

1.598% on Monday, the lowest since Oct. 10. Yields on two-year

paper US2YT=RR also fell sharply while Fed fund futures

0#FF: rallied as investors priced in more risk of a rate cut

later this year.

Futures imply around 35 basis points of easing by year end

FEDWATCH . The Federal Reserve is widely expected to stand pat

at its policy meeting this week, but markets will be sensitive

to any changes to its economic outlook.

Australian and New Zealand bonds gained on Tuesday as did

Japanese government bonds (JGB) with yields on 10-year JGBs set

for their fourth straight day of losses. JP10YT=RR

JPMorgan said they have not yet altered their developed or

emerging markets forex forecasts though they were taking profits

on their "bullish" EUR/USD positions and remain "considerably

long" on Swiss francs which benefits from safe-haven demand.

Short build-up in the Aussie was another risk hedge. The

currency was last down 0.1% at $0.6752, on track for its third

straight day of losses.

The euro EUR= was steady at $1.1017.

The yen JPY= , which has been rising for the past five

sessions, paused at 108.94 per dollar.

In commodities, Brent crude LCOc1 was off 15 cents at

$59.17 while U.S. crude CLc1 eased 12 cents to $53.02.

Spot gold XAU= was flat at $1,581.11.

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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