The financial markets on Thursday, November 9, 2023, witnessed mixed US stock index futures and a static FTSE 100. The focus was on the imminent release of the UK's Q3 GDP data, which is anticipated to influence the Bank of England's (BoE) December monetary policy. The potential for rate cuts is being considered by Swati Dhingra if the growth figures disappoint.
The UK's economic performance in Q3 has been weighed down by factors such as declining consumer spending, poor Services PMI, delayed housing demand, and shrinking employment. This situation has led to a stabilization of GBP/USD near 1.2300 after three consecutive days of negative closure, despite descending US Treasury bond yields.
On the same day, market attention was also directed towards potential USD influencers. These include the US Department of Labor's weekly Initial Jobless Claims data and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's tone during his IMF panel speech. A dovish tone from Powell could notably influence the USD, leading to its weakness and aiding GBP/USD’s recovery.
In addition to these developments, the end-of-year cryptocurrency market trends are bullish. This trend is amplified by a dramatic plunge in the VIX index, signaling a rise in risk-on sentiment as markets await the Fed's anticipated monetary decisions.
On Wednesday, November 8, 2023, GBP/USD recorded its third negative close in a row. The pair settled around the 1.2300 mark, a level that may entice technical buyers if validated as support. Despite bearish pressure on the US Dollar brought about by falling US Treasury bond yields, market caution impeded a full GBP/USD resurgence.
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