SMCI stock is poised for upside surprises: analyst

Published 12/02/2025, 16:42
© Reuters

Investing.com -- Super Micro Computer Inc. "made good progress in climbing out of the deep hole it finds itself in," according to Lynx Equity Strategy analysts, following the company’s recent earnings event.

"None may be as relevant as the announcement that the company had succeeded in raising capital from private sources, the implication being savvy private investors appear to be comfortable with company financials, order pipeline and regulatory issues if any," Lynx Equity Strategy noted. 

They added that it ought to return confidence to the stock in public markets even ahead of the planned filing of SEC documents.

The firm notes that SMCI management also confirmed the company is on track to complete filing 10-K/10-Q within the filing extension provided by the stock exchange.

The analysts emphasized that a return to regulatory compliance and access to capital markets were “critical elements of our long call three months ago and our previous PT of $45."

"Progress in the traditional metrics of company performance – revenue growth potential, margin profile, manufacturing capacity, competitive position, inventory management and cash management – provides tailwinds to drive the stock to our current PT of $60 set two months ago," the analysts wrote.

Lynx Equity Strategy also said that capacity expansion of manufacturing sites in U.S., Taiwan and Malaysia is mostly over, while capex spending may not be a big factor going forward. 

With "renewed access to capital markets, plenty of manufacturing capacity available, leadership in deploying liquid cooled NVDA racks at scale, we think SMCI is poised for upside surprises," added the firm.

Even in the event of a slower-than-expected rollout of Nvidia’s Blackwell chips, Lynx Equity Strategy says the continued deployment of H100 and H200 should be able to support revenue growth at steady margin.

 The firm also pointed to CEO statements that "the surprisingly strong $40 billion revenue outlook he provided for FY26 may be a conservative estimate."

 

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.