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Investing.com -- Italian electricity company Terna (BIT:TRN) has announced updates to its FY24-FY28 business plan on the evening of March 25, which was followed by a presentation. The news led to a 0.5% increase in the company’s share price during Wednesday’s trading session.
The firm’s five-year capital expenditure (capex) has seen a rise of €1.1bn, or 7%, to €17.7bn. This increase is expected to result in a higher regulatory asset base (RAB) and growth in earnings. The company’s dividend policy has also been improved, leading to a higher dividend per share (DPS) for FY25 and FY26 than was previously indicated.
The new capex plan of €17.7bn, a 7% increase compared to the previous plan, should lead to a FY23-FY28 tariff RAB compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9% (to €31.8bn, 4% above the previous guidance). This increase is triggered by higher security and asset renewable investments. The company’s 10-year transmission development plan is expected to provide sufficient growth for another 15 years.
Terna also anticipates higher EBITDA and net income growth. Improved RAB growth trajectory, lower financial costs, better performance of non-regulated activities, and an improved outlook for output-based incentives should lead to €3.36bn of EBITDA in FY28. This is a 3.4% increase compared to the previous plan, and 2.5% above Bloomberg consensus.
This should also result in €1.19bn of net income in FY28, 8% above the previous guidance, and 4% above Bloomberg consensus estimates. FY25 guidance also indicates a potential wave of estimate upgrades.
The company’s dividend policy has been improved, leading to an effective increase in FY25/FY26 DPS. However, the FY23-FY28 DPS compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4% remains unchanged.
The new dividend policy assumes the FY25 and FY26 DPS to be at FY24 level, while the DPS for FY27 and FY28 will be in line with the previous one. Consequently, the FY25 DPS increases by 7.9% compared to the previous policy, while the FY26 DPS increases by 3.8%. However, the FY24-FY28 DPS growth remains relatively modest at just 1%.
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