- Bitcoin prices are going through a downward correction.
- Trump’s administration plans to create a currency reserve in Bitcoin.
- Global uncertainty is reducing demand.
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Bitcoin volatility can be striking, especially in percentage terms, compared to the stock or foreign exchange markets. Recent declines have reached 30% at their worst, but this does not necessarily mean the long-term uptrend is over, as key technical levels remain intact.
However, selling pressure may continue due to rising recession risks in the U.S. and the new administration’s weaker support for digital currencies compared to its campaign promises. In the long run, though, the current drop could offer a chance to buy the cryptocurrency at better prices.
What’s Next (LON:NXT) for Bitcoin as a Strategic Reserve?
During the election campaign, both sides mentioned cryptocurrency, but Donald Trump focused on it more. One of his key proposals is creating a strategic currency reserve in Bitcoin, which has excited investors hoping for a strong foundation for a long-term bull market.
Last week, the White House hosted a cryptocurrency congress, where officials confirmed plans for an initial reserve of $200,000. While this sounds positive at first, the details are less promising. The reserve will come from confiscated Bitcoin linked to criminal activity, not new purchases. This means it will not create new demand in the market, at least under the current plan.
However, in the long run, this move could still be beneficial. By holding Bitcoin, the U.S. government will have a vested interest in ensuring its value does not drop significantly.
Recession Fears Weigh on Crypto
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, despite their deflationary appeal, are moving in sync with stocks—only with larger swings. In the coming weeks, investors will closely watch U.S. economic data. If GDP signals a rising recession risk, further declines may follow.
Key Support Lies Ahead for Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s correction has formed local peaks just below $80,000. From a technical perspective, key support is around $75,000, and a break below this level would signal weakness in demand. Despite the sharp declines, they still appear to be part of a broader correction.
Figure 1: Bitcoin Technical Analysis
If Bitcoin breaks below $75K, the next support level would be under $50K, though this remains a highly pessimistic scenario. A move above $94K could signal a return to the uptrend.
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Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only. It is not intended to encourage the purchase of assets in any way, nor does it constitute a solicitation, offer, recommendation or suggestion to invest. I would like to remind you that all assets are evaluated from multiple perspectives and are highly risky, so any investment decision and the associated risk belongs to the investor. We also do not provide any investment advisory services.