Currency Analysis & Comment

This week's FX price action has been dominated by two stories: the re-rating of the euro (EUR/USD) on the back of looser fiscal and tighter monetary policy expectations and the weaker US...

The US Dollar Index rallied sharply into inauguration day. Since then, it’s been very weak. Could things get worse for King Dollar? Today, we share a “weekly” chart highlighting a potential topping...

EUR/USD is trading at 1.08 following gargantuan moves in European yields. At the current level, the pair is only 1.2% overvalued in our calculation, and we’d be cautious to pick a top before the ECB...

The euro EUR/USD has surged after European leaders announced big spending plans for defence and infrastructure. This comes at a time when President Trump acknowledges that tariffs are causing a...

The BOJ’s policy shift continues to strengthen the yen, keeping USD/JPY under pressure. Rising Japanese bond yields signal further tightening ahead, reinforcing the bearish outlook. A break below...

Today marks a further large step into Donald Trump's America First Agenda. Substantial tariffs are being imposed on Canada and Mexico. Additional tariffs have gone in on China. Canada and China have...

As markets assess the implications of the Zelenskyy-Trump clash on Friday, the focus today is whether US tariffs on Mexico and Canada will go ahead. The FX market is not pricing in 25% duties as a...

In response to criticism of tariff 'confusion', President Trump stepped in emphatically yesterday to announce that tariffs would be going ahead on Canada, Mexico, and China next Tuesday. That's the...

FX volatility levels remain close to two-month lows as investors weigh up dominant themes. The possibility of a ceasefire in Ukraine certainly plays a role, judging by the pricing of assets in...

EUR/USD remains resilient after dipping below 1.05, hinting at a potential breakout. Weak US data and stagflation fears fuel Fed rate cut bets, pressuring the dollar. A break above 1.0500 could pave...

The US dollar has found a little support overnight after the House passed a budget blueprint bill laying the groundwork for President Trump's tax-cutting agenda. The focus on fiscal might buy a...

The German election results initially boosted optimism, but uncertainty over coalition talks is keeping pressure on EUR/USD. Trump's confirmation of tariffs on Mexico and Canada increased safe-haven...

Trump said yesterday that tariffs on Mexico and Canada are still on the table ahead of next Monday’s deadline. Markets remain reluctant to price that in for now, and some soft US consumer confidence...

Germany voted over the weekend, and the results are broadly in line with expectations. The euro (EUR/USD) got a small boost from the CDU/CSU being able to form a coalition only with the SPD, without...