Currency Analysis & Comment

The US dollar remains at risk of positioning-led corrections, but so far macro data and Fed communication have not offered any USD-negative catalyst. Yesterday, Fed Chair Powell emphasised the...

Markets were quick to buy US Dollar after a minor correction as US CPI was released yesterday. This move might reflect expectations for the coming year, as a USD-positive policy mix under Trump is...

So far this week, the FX markets have continued to head in the same direction of dollar strength following last week’s US election results. The dollar is strengthening amid expectations for a higher...

The main event in sterling (GBP/USD) markets today is a speech by Bank of England’s Catherine Mann, the most hawkish member of the MPC. Markets will be attentive to any comments about the...

EUR/USD faces downward pressure with a break below 1.06 potentially signaling new lows for the year. US inflation data could provide the US dollar with more momentum, weighing on the euro. Key...

As the dust settles after last week’s US election results, global markets are settling into core trades of a firmer US dollar, higher US equities and higher terminal rate from the Fed. Importantly in...

In a world where the US Dollar still makes the world go round, it’s vitally important that investors pay attention to potential pivot points for the buck. There’s a reason why we call it King...

If anyone was expecting the US election result and UK budget to significantly impact the Fed and BoE policy message, they were let down by two consensus 25bp cuts and rather balanced guidance. In FX,...

We are revising our EUR/USD forecast lower following the Republican clean sweep. We assume that Trump will go ahead with both tax cuts and protectionism, with the latter triggering a dovish ECB...

After a day dominated by the resounding success of the Republican party, FX markets today return to the more familiar territory of central bank policy meetings. These take place in the US, UK,...

The US Dollar is the world’s reserve currency and, as such, it garners a lot of attention from traders, investors, and media. Out-sized moves in the US Dollar can lead to moves in all asset classes....

The EUR/USD is feeling the effects of a holding pattern in financial markets, as traders remain hesitant to commit to specific positions. With an exceptionally tight US presidential race, many are...

The U.S. dollar faces uncertainty with elections and Fed decisions ahead. Key support at 104 will be vital for the dollar's direction amid rising volatility. Election outcomes could significantly...

Markets are seemingly scaling back from a few Trump trades, and we suspect the next two days can see some abnormal swings in US Dollar crosses due to tighter volatility conditions ahead of a closely...