Gold Enters Critical $3,812–$3,882 Gateway Ahead of October Cycle Pivot

Published 26/09/2025, 18:25
Updated 26/09/2025, 19:04

The harmonic ladder reveals the lower support at $3,621 and upside Fibonacci/Square of 9 target at $3,882, offering traders a precise roadmap framed by long-term cycle lows.

Current Position

Gold Futures Narrative

Gold is trading at $3,809.1, holding above the daily mean of $3,751 after rebounding strongly from the 360-day cycle low window (Sept 28). Price action is now probing the Sell 1/Sell 2 zones ($3,791–$3,812) with upside potential toward the Fibonacci extension at $3,882.5.

Cycle Alignment

Gold Futures Cycle Alignment

  • Black line: simulated gold price (daily closes)

  • VC PMI Daily Levels (blue): Mean $3,751, Buy 1 $3,751, Buy 2 $3,732, Sell 1 $3,791, Sell 2 $3,812

  • VC PMI Weekly Levels (orange): Mean $3,704, Buy 1 $3,665, Buy 2 $3,621, Sell 1 $3,748, Sell 2 $3,787

  • Square of 9 Harmonics (green dotted): +90° $3,812, +180° $3,882, -90° $3,621

  • Cycles:

    • Orange dashed = 30-day cycle pivots

    • Gold solid = 360-day cycle low (major turning point)

This unified chart shows exactly where price structure (VC PMI + Square of 9) intersects with time cycles (30-day + 360-day) — giving high-probability trading inflection zones.

  • 30-Day Cycle:
    The short-term cycle projects into Oct 17 as the next 30-day pivot. Price action between now and mid-October could define whether $3,812–$3,882 is capped as resistance or becomes a breakout zone.

  • 90-Day (Quarterly) Cycle:
    Runs into late November. Historically, this cycle tends to mark Q4 inflection points. A breakout now would project strength into that window.

  • 360-Day Cycle:
    The recent Sept 28 low aligns with a powerful inversion zone. The market has confirmed that low with a reversal rally, suggesting the long-term bull trend remains intact.

Square of 9 Harmonic Analysis

Gold Futures - Square of 9 Harmonic Analysis

  • Pivot: $3,704 (weekly mean, blue)

  • +90° harmonic: $3,812 (red) → aligns with current Sell 2 daily resistance

  • +180° harmonic: $3,882 (green) → aligns with Fibonacci extension target

  • -90° harmonic: $3,621 (purple) → aligns with weekly Buy 2 support

This shows the harmonic “ladder” of $3,621 → $3,704 → $3,812 → $3,882, giving you clear energy points where reversions or accelerations are most likely.

Using the Square of 9 spiral, we map price levels at harmonic angles (45°, 90°, 180°) from key pivots:

  • From the $3,704 weekly mean pivot:

    • +90° rotation: ~$3,812 → aligns with current Sell 2 daily resistance.

    • +180° rotation: ~$3,882–$3,885 → perfectly harmonizes with the Fibonacci 161.8% extension target.

    • -90° rotation: ~$3,621 → aligns with Buy 2 weekly support.

This creates a harmonic “ladder” of energy points:
$3,621 → $3,704 → $3,812 → $3,882.

Momentum & Confirmation

  • MACD remains slightly negative, but if price sustains above $3,812, a bullish crossover is likely to follow.

  • Volume spikes near $3,751 suggest strong accumulation into the breakout attempt.

  • Rejection at $3,812 without follow-through would imply mean reversion back to $3,751–$3,704.

Trading Implications

  • Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $3,812 confirms Square of 9 + cycle alignment, projecting directly into $3,882.5 as the next target.

  • Bearish Reversion: Failure to hold $3,791 risks a drop back into $3,751 and potentially $3,704.

  • Cycle Edge: The market’s correction into the Sept 28 360-day low sets the stage for a multi-month rally if resistance is cleared.

Summary: Gold has aligned its 360-day low with a bullish breakout attempt. The Square of 9 harmonic ladder shows $3,812 as the critical gateway. If breached, $3,882 becomes the natural next stop, in harmony with Fibonacci extensions and the 30-day cycle peak window (Oct 17).

Here’s the Gold Futures chart with both Square of 9 harmonics and cycle overlays:

  • Black line: simulated gold price path (daily closes)

  • Horizontal dashed lines:

    • Pivot $3,704 (blue)

    • +90° $3,812 (red)

    • +180° $3,882 (green)

    • -90° $3,621 (purple)

  • Vertical orange lines: 30-day cycle pivots (short-term swing timing)

  • Vertical gold line: 360-day cycle low (long-term inversion point, Sept 28 equivalent)

This shows how price structure (Square of 9) and time structure (30/360 cycles) align, giving a dual framework for anticipating both levels and timing of reversions or breakouts.

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