Market Overview

Just when you thought it was safe to assume that the soft-landing fix was in, the bond market has thrown a wrench into the machine. So it goes with the constantly shape-shifting risk profile for the...

Stocks gained on Wednesday, rising by around 80 bps, as the dollar and rates fell.There is still a lot of data to come this week, with the Job report on Friday now front and center. However, despite...

Based on some comments, it appears we scared a few people with A Crisis Is Coming.Our article warns, “A financial crisis will likely follow the Fed’s “higher for longer”...

Well, rates continue to increase following a hotter-than-expected and very volatile JOLTS data point. Now, rates are at a point where the economy will start to slow, and financial conditions are...

The Fed will have to harden its stance to break the labor market. But at what cost for investors?The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest jobs report on Tuesday. Since inflation became a hot...

The expected return for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to edge higher in September from the previous month. Today’s revised long-run forecast for this benchmark — a...

Stocks finished yesterday lower as rates pushed higher again and spreads widened. The 10-year climbed to 4.69%, and the help to spread between the ten and the two widened to -42 bps, which is...

Here's My Top 4 October 2023 Trading Tips for Gold, Stocks and ForexGot Octoberphobia?! 

The week promises a plethora of economic data, starting this morning with the ISM manufacturing data at 10 AM. This will be followed by Jay Powell participating in a roundtable discussion with Philly...

The PCE price index increased by 0.4% vs. an estimated 0.5% monthly. Likewise, the core PCE price index increased by 0.1% vs. an estimated 0.2%.The Fed’s decision to maintain the interest rate...

The Fed’s “soft landing” hopes are likely overly optimistic. Such was the context of our recent report, which discussed the long record of the Fed’s economic growth...

Greenback to take a breather after 8-weeks long rally; direction remains bullish Similarly, oil could retest $90 Fed actions, bond market shifts, and speculative positions to tell the market direction...

Stocks closed higher yesterday, with the S&P 500 rising by around 60 bps. Bond yields also stabilized, with the 10-year falling by three bps to close about 4.57%.The day saw a lot of volatility in...

Stocks were in for a wild trading day, with the S&P 500 firmly in a negative gamma regime. It means that wild swings will persist as long as this case, and there was a pretty good example of that...