Russell 2000 and S&P 500 Reclaim Bullish Pattern

Published 02/12/2025, 05:23
Updated 02/12/2025, 08:30

Trading volume was very light, so it’s unlikely the "Big Guns" returned to their desks. Given that, we didn’t see a whole lot of action in the indices despite clickbait headlines.

However, since my last post, we have seen resistance breakouts in the Russell 2000 (IWM), S&P 500 ($SPX) and Nasdaq ($COMPQ), but none are near challenging highs. However, the Russell 2000 and S&P 500 have both returned to a net bullish technical picture. I would want to see what kind of action came with volume before we get a better idea of what comes next.IMW-Daily Chart

SPX-Daily Chart

The Nasdaq hasn’t got a net bullish technical, but is underperforming relative to Small Caps. The S&P has just started to underperform relative to the Nasdaq. So, it could come down to the Russell 2000 to lead things out?COMPQ-Daily Chart

The big disappointment was Bitcoin ($BTCUSD). A one-day, 5% loss, is not what you want to see after days of small gains. I’m liking the spike low of $80.6K as a trade low, but Monday’s candlestick suggests we will see another test of that low; aggressive traders could look to buy at that low, but if we see another solid red candlestick then it may not hold.

Bitcoin-Daily Chart

It’s an odd time for markets. Traders want to push things higher, but this is again going to push markets to extremes relative to their 200-day MAs. We are not there yet, but we need to be aware of it. Will today see the return of senior traders?

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