👀 Ones to watch: The MOST undervalued stocks to buy right nowSee Undervalued Stocks

Russell 2000 Eyes 200-DMA Test; S&P 500, Nasdaq Back Above Rising Trendline

Published 06/11/2023, 08:25
Updated 09/07/2023, 11:31
US500
-
US2000
-
IWM
-
IXIC
-

On daily time frames markets had an excellent last week, but the large white candlestick on the weekly time frame after weeks of bearish red ones is not typically bullish or one that typically marks a bottom. Having said that, there is room for bulls to work with, and even if markets shift sideways from here I would still look at this as a positive.

The index I'm most concerned with is the Russell 2000 (IWM). Last week, I noted the June low support test and was of the opinion that it wouldn't hold. Well, buyers didn't listen and instead what emerged was a picture-perfect support test.

With that done, we are now looking at a probable test of the 200-day MA; to add to this, the 200-day MA will soon be subject to a bearish "Death Cross" relative to the 50-day MA - a long-term bearish factor. These are weekly time frame tests and whether upcoming tests are successful or not will be determined on this time frame.

IWM-Weekly Chart

The S&P 500 was an interesting case. It had lost trend support on generally bearish technicals, except, intermediate stochastics was at a point of a bull market oversold state, and it was these stochastics that came to mark support. The index was able to recover the rising trendline in a confirmed "bear trap".

SPX-Weekly Chart

The Nasdaq was the best positioned of the indexes from a bullish standpoint, and it was able to leverage this by generating its own "bear trap" from the test of the July 2022 swing high. It's trading above its 50-day and 200-day MA and is a long way from July 2022.

COMPQ-Weekly Chart

So as we head into this week and return focus to daily charts we will want to keep our attention focused on the big picture and the impact on the end-of-week close for these indexes. I wouldn't be surprised to see some early week comeback given last week's big gains, but if things stabilize later in the week it will give bulls something to work with in the following week.

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.