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The US dollar started the week on the front foot thanks to some defensive positioning ahead of tomorrow’s tariff announcement. Barring data disappointment (JOLTS and ISM manufacturing), there is a...
EUR/USD remains tightly correlated with benchmark German bund yields, sitting at a near-perfect 0.95 correlation in March Traders use the euro to express views on European growth after Germany’s...
EUR/USD remains tightly correlated with benchmark German bund yields, sitting at a near-perfect 0.95 correlation in March. Traders use the euro to express views on European growth after Germany’s...
The euro's next move hinges more on headlines than charts right now. But beneath the noise, Germany's fiscal pivot may be planting long-term bullish roots. Meanwhile, the dollar is tiptoeing through...
EUR/USD is on multi-day losing streak amidst uncertainty surrounding new US tariffs, despite positive German data. Mixed US economic data, including declining consumer confidence, added to market...
There is no clear catalyst for dollar strength towards the end of this week, but the pause in rotation from US to European equities and some caution ahead of the 2 April tariff event are probably...
The Fed revised its dot plot projections to two cuts in 2025, but guidance remains more hawkish than market pricing. We don’t expect Powell to get in the way of a dollar recovery if data allows...
Market pricing suggests some dovish tweak in the Fed communication today, but we think Chair Powell will want to see hard evidence of a slowdown and will remain cautious for now. The US dollar can...
The week started with another US data disappointment, as softer-than-expected retail sales added to worries about a deteriorating consumer picture. Today, geopolitical developments are in focus as...
This will be an interesting week. After all, the S&P 500 is not often down for five consecutive weeks, so one has to think this might be the week the market attempts a rebound. From what I can...
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