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High-beta currencies have rallied overnight, perhaps indicating that the US will opt for a flat rate over country-specific tariffs, which could be seen as slightly more lenient. But it’s also been...
The US dollar started the week on the front foot thanks to some defensive positioning ahead of tomorrow’s tariff announcement. Barring data disappointment (JOLTS and ISM manufacturing), there is a...
The week started with another US data disappointment, as softer-than-expected retail sales added to worries about a deteriorating consumer picture. Today, geopolitical developments are in focus as...
The euro EUR/USD has surged after European leaders announced big spending plans for defence and infrastructure. This comes at a time when President Trump acknowledges that tariffs are causing a...
As markets assess the implications of the Zelenskyy-Trump clash on Friday, the focus today is whether US tariffs on Mexico and Canada will go ahead. The FX market is not pricing in 25% duties as a...
Trump said yesterday that tariffs on Mexico and Canada are still on the table ahead of next Monday’s deadline. Markets remain reluctant to price that in for now, and some soft US consumer confidence...
The US dollar faces downside risks today as US payrolls should slow and annual benchmark revisions could be significant. That could more than offset some safe-haven flows on the back of souring China...
USD/CAD looks ready for more downside after breaking key support—bears might be taking control. With Trump delaying tariffs, CAD bulls could see opportunities in EUR/CAD for a potential...
Trump's tariffs are pushing the U.S. dollar to new heights, shaking global currency markets. Escalating tensions and a stronger dollar could lead to inflation and economic disruptions. As tariffs...
Our assumption in December was that a US-Canada trade war could take USD/CAD to 1.50. That is now a clear possibility. The two key factors for FX are how long US tariffs will stay in place and the...
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