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Albemarle stock target boosted, hold rating on business model changes

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 13/11/2024, 15:42
ALB
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On Wednesday, Berenberg raised the price target on Albemarle (NYSE: NYSE:ALB) shares to $102 from $81 while maintaining a Hold rating. This adjustment follows the company's third-quarter results released on November 6, which led to a roughly 6% increase in the stock's value. The firm attributes this positive adjustment to significant changes in Albemarle's business model.

According to Berenberg, Albemarle's recent initiatives, including substantial cost savings and a new strategy to directly sell spodumene into the market, warrant the increased price target. These developments have contributed to the stock's recent volatility but overall upward trend.

Furthermore, Albemarle has received a new waiver related to its debt covenants. Berenberg suggests that this waiver provides Albemarle with sufficient leeway to steer clear of a potential capital increase, which is a positive sign for the company's financial health.

Despite the raised price target, Berenberg has decided to maintain a Hold rating on Albemarle stock. The firm's stance is influenced by the projection that lithium prices in 2025 may not be as favorable as current levels, suggesting a cautious outlook for the medium-term future of the market.

Albemarle, a global developer of lithium and other chemical products, has been adjusting its business operations to better navigate the evolving market landscape. These strategic moves by the company have been recognized by analysts as steps that could strengthen its market position and financial stability.

In other recent news, Albemarle Corporation reported a significant decrease in net sales and earnings in its Q3 2024 earnings call due to lower lithium prices and pricing pressures. The company reported a loss of $1.1 billion and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA to $211 million.

Despite these challenges, Albemarle is implementing strategic adjustments, including a new operating structure expected to save $300 to $400 million and a nearly 50% cut in capital expenditures for 2025, projected to be between $800 million and $900 million.

In response to these developments, RBC Capital Markets raised its price target for Albemarle to $133.00, up from the previous target of $108.00, while maintaining an Outperform rating. Similarly, KeyBanc Capital Markets adjusted its price target on Albemarle to $127, down from $132, maintaining an Overweight rating on the shares.

These changes reflect the ongoing challenges in the lithium market and Albemarle's proactive measures to decrease costs. The company maintains its full-year 2024 outlook, anticipating net sales at the lower end of $12 to $15 per kilogram, and expects over 20% year-over-year volume growth in energy storage. These are the most recent developments in Albemarle's strategic adjustments to navigate the current market challenges.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on Albemarle's financial situation and market performance, complementing Berenberg's analysis. Despite the raised price target, Albemarle faces significant challenges. The company's revenue growth has declined by 34.2% over the last twelve months, with a more pronounced 41.37% drop in the most recent quarter. This aligns with the InvestingPro Tip indicating that analysts anticipate a sales decline in the current year.

On a positive note, Albemarle has maintained its dividend payments for 31 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns even in challenging times. The current dividend yield stands at 1.58%. However, investors should be cautious as InvestingPro Tips warn that the company is not expected to be profitable this year and has suffered from weak gross profit margins.

The stock's recent performance has been volatile but strong, with a 33.74% price total return over the last three months. This volatility is reflected in an InvestingPro Tip, which notes that stock price movements for Albemarle are quite volatile.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for Albemarle, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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