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Barclays raises Rockwell Automation stock rating, Trump’s second term seen as a growth catalyst

Published 05/12/2024, 12:26
Barclays raises Rockwell Automation stock rating, Trump’s second term seen as a growth catalyst
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On Thursday, Barclays (LON:BARC) made a notable change to its rating for Rockwell Automation (NYSE:NYSE:ROK), moving the company's stock from Underweight to Equalweight. Accompanying this upgrade, the firm also increased its price target for Rockwell Automation shares to $290 from the previous target of $255. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at $293.83, with analyst targets ranging from $215 to $345.

The adjustment comes after a period where Rockwell Automation's stock performance lagged behind the broader market. Specifically, the stock has seen a decline of 28% compared to the S&P 500 over the past year. The analyst at Barclays pointed out that Rockwell Automation might benefit from the political landscape, suggesting the company could be a potential winner from the re-election of Donald Trump as President.

The rationale behind the upgrade is tied to historical performance patterns observed during Trump's first term. Rockwell Automation experienced weak sales prior to the 2016 elections, but post-election, the company was among those that saw a significant improvement in sales figures. The analyst believes that investors might expect a similar outcome in the early stages of Trump's second term.

The commentary from Barclays underscores a potential correlation between the company's sales performance and the political environment, especially considering the historical context of Rockwell Automation's sales boost following the 2016 elections.

The new price target of $290 set by Barclays reflects a more optimistic view of Rockwell Automation's stock value, suggesting that the firm anticipates a potential upswing in the company's financial performance under the current political conditions.

In other recent news, Rockwell Automation has been a subject of discussion among analysts from Baird and Goldman Sachs. Baird raised its price target on Rockwell Automation shares to $305.00, maintaining an Outperform rating. The firm acknowledged Rockwell Automation's advancements in integrating its products and services, leveraging cloud and artificial intelligence capabilities, and reducing integration risks. Goldman Sachs, on the other hand, maintained its Sell rating on the shares with a price target of $250.00, citing concerns about the company's ambitious order acceleration goals for the first half of 2025.

Rockwell Automation reported a challenging fiscal year in 2024 with a 9% decline in sales to $8.3 billion. The company is implementing cost reduction strategies and strategic positioning for future growth, with new product introductions such as the LOGICS SIS process safety controller and Vision AI solution. The company's fiscal 2025 guidance indicates a potential sales range between a 4% decline and a 2% increase, with a 10% growth in annual recurring revenue and a target of $250 million in cost savings.

Despite challenges, the Americas region remains a strong performer for Rockwell Automation. The company's segment margin decreased by 200 basis points to 19.3% and adjusted EPS was down by 20%. However, Rockwell Automation expects a gradual improvement in sales through fiscal 2025 and is anticipating more mega project orders in the coming fiscal year. These developments reflect Rockwell Automation's commitment to navigate through a difficult period while focusing on long-term growth and structural investments.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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