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On Tuesday, BofA Securities issued a new rating for Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico (NYSE:PAC), downgrading the company’s stock from Buy to Neutral and adjusting the price target to $205 from the previous $213. The revision by BofA Securities analyst Carlos Peyrelongue is based on a more conservative outlook for the company’s future revenue and valuation. According to InvestingPro data, PAC currently trades at $181.17, with analyst targets ranging from $155 to $226, reflecting mixed sentiment about the company’s valuation.
The downgrade reflects a recalibration of expectations after Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, also known as Gap, provided 2025 guidance that suggested a slower implementation of new maximum tariffs in Mexico than previously anticipated. This guidance prompted BofA Securities to revise their estimates downward. Despite these concerns, InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains impressive gross profit margins of 77.19% and a strong financial health score of 3.1 out of 5, labeled as "GREAT."
Despite the downgrade, BofA Securities acknowledges that there are some positive aspects for Gap. The firm has revised its estimates upward from 2027 in its discounted cash flow valuation. This adjustment partially offsets the impact of the lower 2025 and 2026 estimates.
The past year has seen Gap’s shares rally significantly, with InvestingPro data showing a 36.76% total return over the last twelve months. Following this strong performance, BofA Securities now views the stock as richly valued. Gap currently trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 12.4x and a P/E ratio of 21.57x, suggesting premium valuations. InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis indicates the stock is currently fairly valued, with 12 additional ProTips available to subscribers regarding the company’s financial strength and market position.
Despite the downgrade to Neutral, BofA Securities’ price objective still implies a 10.5% upside potential. Furthermore, with an expected 2025 dividend yield of 3.8%, the total expected return stands at 14.3%. This projection underpins the Neutral rating, suggesting that while the stock’s current valuation is high, there is still room for some growth and shareholder returns.
In other recent news, Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico has been the focus of several analyst updates. Jefferies upgraded its stock rating from Underperform to Hold, raising the price target to $210, citing anticipated fourth-quarter 2024 earnings and traffic recoveries. In contrast, Barclays (LON:BARC) downgraded the stock from Overweight to Equalweight, slightly lowering the price target to Peso 412, reflecting a cautious outlook due to limited upside potential. Barclays noted the stock’s current valuation and potential risks in the environment.
Meanwhile, BofA Securities maintained a Buy rating and increased the price target to Peso 439.20, projecting a significant 30% growth in EBITDA for 2025. This positive outlook is supported by an expected recovery in traffic and an increase in the Mexican weighted average tariff. The company is currently trading at a premium compared to its peers, with a 2025 estimated EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.8 times.
Grupo Aeroportuario’s growth prospects are bolstered by the resolution of airline capacity constraints affecting Volaris, which handles a significant portion of its traffic. Analysts from BofA Securities also highlighted Asur’s attractive valuation and growth prospects, while expressing a less optimistic view on Oma. These developments provide a mixed but insightful perspective on Grupo Aeroportuario’s current and future performance.
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