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On Thursday, BofA Securities analyst Bharat Subramanian increased the price target on GAIL (India) Ltd. (NSE:GAIL:IN) (OTC:GAILF) to INR235.00, up from INR225.00, while reiterating a Buy rating on the stock. Subramanian’s adjustment followed GAIL’s fourth-quarter financial results for the fiscal year 2025, which showed the company’s standalone EBITDA at INR32 billion, surpassing consensus estimates by 5%. The profit after tax (PAT) stood at INR20 billion, aligning with expectations.
The analyst noted that GAIL’s natural gas (NG) trading EBIT normalized at INR12 billion, compared to INR4.4 billion in the previous quarter, which excluded one-off items. The company successfully marketed over 85% of Henry Hub-linked gas or utilized it as a feedstock at its Pata petrochemical (petchem) plant. However, GAIL’s NG transmission earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) decreased by 7% quarter-over-quarter to INR13 billion. This drop was primarily due to a 4% reduction in transmission volumes, attributed to unforeseen shutdowns by fertilizer plants, a dip in crude prices affecting shippers’ volumes, and a loss of volumes to a competitor.
The company also announced a final dividend of INR1 per share for the fiscal year, bringing the total dividend to INR7.5 per share. Despite this, BofA Securities has moderated its EBITDA forecasts for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by 2-4%, citing a more conservative outlook on petchem margins. Nevertheless, the price objective was raised to INR235 per share from INR225 per share due to a roll-forward to FY27. The analyst concluded by reaffirming the Buy rating, citing a favorable risk-reward balance for the stock.
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