BofA Securities raises Wayfair stock price target to $72 on logistics growth

Published 04/08/2025, 20:10
BofA Securities raises Wayfair stock price target to $72 on logistics growth

Investing.com - BofA Securities raised its price target on Wayfair (NYSE:W) to $72.00 from $60.00 on Monday, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the home goods retailer. The stock, currently trading at $73.19, has shown remarkable momentum with a 37.62% gain over the past six months, according to InvestingPro data.

The price target increase reflects BofA’s positive view on Wayfair’s growing CastleGate logistics penetration, which has reached 25%, up 400 basis points year-over-year. This logistics expansion is expected to drive sustainable market share gains through faster delivery, lower shipping costs, and improved customer experience. With current gross margins at 30.31%, the company maintains healthy pricing power despite competitive pressures.

Wayfair management anticipates higher CastleGate penetration will come from existing vendors routing more products through the company’s logistics network, particularly as Wayfair opens its CastleGate platform to orders from outside its marketplace.

The company’s multichannel strategy reportedly maintains similar gross margins to Wayfair’s overall business but requires minimal marketing investment and scales efficiently on the existing network infrastructure.

While management expects the multichannel approach to be accretive to EBITDA margins over time, BofA analysts anticipate a modest near-term gross margin headwind as costs are front-loaded ahead of corresponding sales growth. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently trading above its Fair Value, with additional insights available in the comprehensive Pro Research Report covering this $9.4 billion market cap retailer.

In other recent news, Wayfair reported a robust second-quarter performance for 2025, significantly surpassing earnings expectations. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.87, dramatically exceeding the forecasted $0.33, marking a 163.64% surprise. Revenue also outperformed projections, reaching $3.27 billion against a forecast of $3.12 billion. This strong financial performance was highlighted by Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James, which reiterated its Strong Buy rating and maintained a $55.00 price target, noting the company’s accelerating sales and market share gains. Canaccord Genuity also responded positively to Wayfair’s results, raising its price target from $70.00 to $84.00, while maintaining a Buy rating. The firm emphasized the company’s year-over-year growth, which was approximately 500 basis points higher than the first quarter. Furthermore, William Blair reiterated an Outperform rating, citing potential for valuation expansion and balance sheet improvements. These developments indicate a positive outlook for Wayfair, as seen by various analyst firms.

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