BTIG cuts Arvinas stock price target to $16 from $69

Published 02/05/2025, 11:24
BTIG cuts Arvinas stock price target to $16 from $69

On Friday, BTIG analyst Jeet Mukherjee adjusted the price target for Arvinas Inc. (NASDAQ:ARVN) shares, bringing it down to $16.00 from the previous $69.00 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The stock, currently trading at $7.23, has experienced significant volatility, falling over 20% in the past week alone. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets range from $10 to $110, reflecting diverse market opinions on this biotech company. The revision followed Arvinas’ first-quarter earnings report for 2025 and an announcement made in partnership with Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), which is not rated by BTIG. The companies revealed a strategic change in the development of vepdegestrant, deciding to discontinue Phase 3 trials for the first and second line of combination therapies.

The decision to halt the trials was influenced by results from the VERITAC-2 study and the perspective that Selective Estrogen Receptor Degraders (SERDs) will have a more limited application, specifically targeting patients with ESR1 mutations. Despite this development, the analyst noted that Arvinas still has potential catalysts in its pipeline, particularly with its BCL6 and LRRK2 programs. InvestingPro analysis indicates the company maintains strong liquidity with a current ratio of 4.64, though it’s quickly burning through cash - a critical factor for biotech investors to monitor. However, the data from these programs are in early stages and will likely require more time to develop before they can significantly influence the market’s confidence in the company.

Mukherjee’s new price target reflects a cautious outlook for the market of second-line and beyond ESR1 mutation-positive breast cancer treatments. The analyst believes that Arvinas, in collaboration with Pfizer, has the potential to penetrate and adopt this market, leveraging Pfizer’s extensive experience in the field.

Arvinas’ market capitalization stands at approximately $528 million, which is notably less than its cash reserves of $954 million. The analyst suggests that the company’s current market position indicates a greater potential for stock price appreciation than decline, hence supporting the Buy rating and the revised price target of $16.00. Based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, the stock appears undervalued at current levels. Subscribers can access 14 additional ProTips and a comprehensive Pro Research Report, offering deeper insights into Arvinas’ financial health, market position, and growth prospects.

In other recent news, Arvinas Inc. reported impressive financial results for Q1 2025, with revenues reaching $188.8 million, far exceeding analyst forecasts of $42.16 million. The company also achieved earnings per share of $1.14, demonstrating a strong financial performance. However, the stock ratings for Arvinas have been downgraded by multiple firms following strategic changes. TD Cowen downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold after Pfizer canceled significant trials for Arvinas’ combination therapy, which was expected to be a major market opportunity. Similarly, Jefferies downgraded the stock to Hold and reduced the price target from $52.00 to $10.00, reflecting reduced expectations for Arvinas’ development pipeline. Goldman Sachs also revised its price target to $8, maintaining a Neutral rating, as the company shifts focus to cost reduction and early-stage pipeline development. These developments indicate a reassessment of Arvinas’ market potential and future growth prospects by analysts.

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