Cantor Fitzgerald cuts NICE Systems price target to $161

Published 21/02/2025, 13:38
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On Friday, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Thomas Blakey adjusted the price target for NICE Systems Ltd (NASDAQ:NICE) to $161 from the previous $176 while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. The stock, which has declined nearly 13% in the past week and is trading near its 52-week low, appears undervalued according to InvestingPro analysis. The revision followed NICE’s fourth-quarter 2024 earnings report, which showcased strong performance in the Financial Crime and Compliance ( FCC (BME:FCC)) sector and an increase in Product revenue. However, Customer Experience (CX) and Cloud revenue fell short of expectations, despite management noting an uptick in the fourth quarter.

NICE’s management attributed the fourth-quarter revenue increase to extended sales cycles for larger, more complex deals, a strong seasonal rise in Healthcare and retail sectors, and better-than-anticipated results from the acquisition of LiveVox, a cloud contact center solutions provider. The company maintains strong fundamentals with a healthy gross profit margin of 67% and robust cash flows that adequately cover debt obligations. For the calendar year 2025, NICE provided guidance that was more conservative than market expectations, predicting 12% growth in Cloud revenue compared to the 17% anticipated by FactSet analysts.

The company also expects continued pressure on sales cycles throughout 2025 due to the complexity and size of AI-driven deals, which tend to take longer to finalize. Additionally, NICE forecasts less seasonality in the second half of 2025. Regarding financial metrics, the company is projecting flat gross margin percentages year-over-year and a marginal expansion in EBIT margin, which is less than the six-year average. This cautious outlook is attributed to the company’s strategic investments in artificial intelligence, aimed at driving long-term double-digit percentage EPS growth despite the near-term deceleration in Cloud growth. For deeper insights into NICE’s AI strategy and comprehensive financial analysis, including 8 additional ProTips, visit InvestingPro.

In other recent news, NICE Systems reported its fourth-quarter 2024 financial results, showcasing non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.02, which surpassed the consensus estimate of $2.95. The company also reported non-GAAP revenue of $722 million, exceeding expectations and marking a 16% year-over-year increase. However, the company’s guidance for 2025 cloud revenue growth at 12% fell short of the anticipated 17.6% consensus, contributing to adjustments in analyst price targets. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities reduced its price target for NICE Systems to $185 from $220, while Jefferies revised its target to $173 from $200, both citing concerns over the company’s conservative outlook. Despite these adjustments, Mizuho maintained an Outperform rating, emphasizing NICE Systems’ valuation metrics. JMP analysts maintained their Market Outperform rating and a $300 price target, noting the company’s strong revenue growth and free cash flow performance. DA Davidson also adjusted its price target to $200 from $225 but sustained a Buy rating, acknowledging NICE Systems’ strategic investments in artificial intelligence and platform capabilities. These developments reflect a mixed sentiment among analysts regarding NICE Systems’ future growth prospects amidst a cautious outlook.

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