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On Wednesday, Citi analysts, led by Steven Zaccone, adjusted their outlook on Boot Barn (NYSE: NYSE:BOOT) shares by lowering the price target from $178.00 to $137.00, while still maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. Currently trading at $111.29, the company has seen its stock decline over 26% year-to-date, according to InvestingPro data. The revision comes ahead of the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report, which is scheduled to be released on May 14, after the market closes.
Zaccone’s commentary highlighted that investors are keenly awaiting Boot Barn’s commentary on tariffs, specifically regarding the company’s mitigation efforts and pricing strategies to maintain gross margin rates or absorb some of the costs. With a healthy gross profit margin of 37.27% and strong current ratio of 2.2, the company appears well-positioned to navigate these challenges. The financial community is also looking forward to insights on the company’s updated strategy following the appointment of CEO John Hazen, as announced in a press release on May 5.
Analyzing the company’s financials, Zaccone suggested that the fiscal fourth-quarter performance is expected to align with the midpoint of the original guidance. This is attributed to a strong finish in March, which is believed to have compensated for the weaker performance in February, as indicated by high-frequency data trends.
However, due to the ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariffs, Citi anticipates that Boot Barn may refrain from providing full-year fiscal 2026 guidance. Consequently, Citi has revised its estimates to reflect this uncertainty, positioning their fiscal year 2026 earnings per share (EPS) expectations 14% below the consensus of other analysts.
The new price target of $137.00 is based on a multiple of 24 times the reduced fiscal year 2026 EPS estimated by Citi. This adjustment underscores the challenges posed by the current tariff environment and its impact on Boot Barn’s forward-looking financial projections. For deeper insights into Boot Barn’s valuation and financial health metrics, including exclusive ProTips and comprehensive analysis, visit InvestingPro, where you’ll find detailed research reports and expert commentary on over 1,400 US stocks.
In other recent news, Boot Barn Holdings Inc. has announced its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report, which is eagerly anticipated by investors. The company’s commentary on tariffs and pricing strategies is expected to be a focal point. Citi analysts have adjusted their outlook on Boot Barn, reducing the price target to $137 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing uncertainty around tariffs as a reason for the adjustment. Additionally, Boot Barn has officially appointed John Hazen as the new Chief Executive Officer. Hazen, who has been with the company since 2018 and served as Interim CEO, brings over 20 years of industry experience to his new role.
Craig-Hallum has upgraded Boot Barn’s stock rating from Hold to Buy, setting a price target of $130. The upgrade is based on the retailer’s growth potential and ability to mitigate challenges posed by tariffs. Analyst Jeremy Hamblin believes Boot Barn’s scale will provide an advantage over competitors and expects the company to capture additional market share. Despite the tariff-related risks, Boot Barn’s strong balance sheet is seen as a positive factor in navigating these uncertainties. Recent signals from the Trump Administration about reducing tariff measures could further benefit Boot Barn in the future.
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