Confluent stock retains $40 target, Market Outperform rating

Published 10/03/2025, 10:56
Confluent stock retains $40 target, Market Outperform rating

On Monday, Confluent Inc (NASDAQ:CFLT), currently valued at $8.89 billion by market capitalization, maintained its Market Outperform rating and a $40.00 price target from Citizens JMP. The firm’s analysts highlighted multiple factors that make Confluent an appealing investment for long-term growth. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains strong financial health with more cash than debt on its balance sheet. The company is recognized for its comprehensive data streaming platform, which includes capabilities such as Stream, Connect, Process, and Govern.

According to the analysts, Confluent is poised to tap into a significant total addressable market, projected to reach $100 billion by 2025. The company has demonstrated solid execution with 24% year-over-year revenue growth in the last twelve months. The partnership with Databricks is particularly noteworthy as it is expected to open up additional sales avenues in the AI sector, where the demand for real-time data is critical. While the stock has experienced a 10.6% decline over the past week, it has shown strong momentum with a 37% gain over the last six months. Discover more market insights and 8 additional ProTips with InvestingPro.

The innovation streak of Confluent is also seen as a key strength, with recent developments like Tableflow, a major component of the Databricks collaboration, and the bring your own cloud (BYOC) product following the acquisition of WarpStream in September 2024.

Leadership is another area where Confluent shines, according to Citizens JMP. The firm expressed confidence in the team led by CEO Jay Kreps, alongside key executives such as outgoing President of Field Operations Erica Ruliffson Schultz, CFO Rohan Sivaram, and General Counsel Melanie Vinson. While the company isn’t currently profitable, analysts tracked by InvestingPro predict profitability this year, with 17 analysts revising their earnings estimates upward. These factors collectively underpin the positive outlook on Confluent’s stock.

In other recent news, Confluent Inc. has garnered attention with several noteworthy developments. UBS has upgraded Confluent’s stock rating from Neutral to Buy, increasing the price target from $34 to $38. This decision follows positive discussions with customers and partners, indicating robust growth potential in subscription revenues for 2025 and 2026, surpassing consensus estimates. DA Davidson has maintained a Buy rating for Confluent, with a consistent price target of $42, expressing confidence in the company’s strategic direction and market potential. JPMorgan also holds an Overweight rating with a $38 target, recognizing Confluent’s evolution into a versatile data streaming platform.

Goldman Sachs, while maintaining a Neutral rating, slightly raised its price target from $30 to $31, acknowledging Confluent’s strategic shift towards Data Stream Processing. The company’s recent Investor Day highlighted its focus on operating margins, aiming for 12-15% by 2027, without specific long-term revenue growth forecasts. Additionally, Confluent announced the retirement of Erica Schultz, President of Field Operations, with a transition underway to find her successor. This executive change introduces some uncertainty, but the company continues to focus on its core business strategies.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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