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Tuesday, Craig-Hallum updated its outlook on Semtech Corp . (NASDAQ:SMTC (NASDAQ:SMTX)), increasing the price target to $70 from the previous $48, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The firm's analyst highlighted Semtech's recent financial performance, noting a beat and strong guidance driven by robust demand for Fiber products in data centers.
On Tuesday, Semtech reported significant bookings for its ACC (NS:ACC) AI products in the October quarter, amounting to approximately $7-9 million. The company anticipates a slight sequential increase in ACC product sales and expects more substantial growth in subsequent quarters. Semtech reiterated that the ACC opportunity could surpass $100 million, and the analyst suggested that the company might raise this estimate within the next few quarters.
Semtech's LPO TIA driver product has garnered interest from data centers, with sales anticipated to begin late in the 2025 calendar year. The company has received orders from several module manufacturers to test the LPO product, which they believe is superior for a market of over 30 million units. Shipments of the LPO product are expected to materially ramp up in CY26.
The analyst concluded that investors are likely to benefit from owning Semtech shares due to the company's potential for significant top-line growth, driven by AI datacenters. The firm's positive outlook is based on Semtech's current performance and the expected future demand for its products in the rapidly advancing AI and data center markets.
In other recent news, Semtech Corporation reported strong earnings and revenue results that exceeded expectations. The company's third-quarter revenue surpassed forecasts by $4 million, reaching $236.8 million, while earnings per share outperformed by $0.03, hitting $0.26. Semtech anticipates fourth-quarter sales around $250 million, exceeding the Street consensus by $9 million, and a Q4 EPS of $0.32, beating the Street's estimate by $0.06.
Several financial firms, including Piper Sandler, Benchmark, Stifel, Northland, Needham, and Baird, have made positive adjustments to Semtech's price target following these results. The company's recent successes include the production ramp-up of its new Active Copper Cable (ACC) Copper Edge product for NVDA's Blackwell platform, which contributed to high-single digit millions in revenue in Q3 and is expected to continue growing in Q4.
Semtech has begun volume shipments of its CopperEdge 200G Linear Redrivers for ACC applications and is receiving initial test and qualification orders for its Link Performance Optimization (LPO) products. These products are anticipated to make a meaningful revenue contribution by the fiscal year-end 2026.
These are recent developments that indicate Semtech's strategic focus on high-margin, growth-oriented products and its ability to capitalize on the expanding demands of the data center market.
InvestingPro Insights
Semtech Corp.'s recent performance and future prospects align with several key insights from InvestingPro. The company's stock has shown significant momentum, with InvestingPro data revealing a 231.31% price total return over the past year and a 143.91% return year-to-date. This strong performance supports Craig-Hallum's bullish outlook and increased price target.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that 8 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting growing confidence in Semtech's future performance. This aligns with the company's positive guidance and the analyst's expectations for substantial growth in ACC product sales.
While Semtech's revenue growth has been negative in the recent past, with a -0.58% decline in the last twelve months, the company's gross profit margin remains healthy at 49.83%. This indicates that despite challenges, Semtech maintains strong pricing power, which could be crucial as it ramps up production of its new LPO TIA driver product for data centers.
It's worth noting that Semtech is trading near its 52-week high, with its price at 99.44% of the 52-week high value. This reflects the market's positive sentiment towards the company's AI and data center-focused strategy.
For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for Semtech Corp., providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.
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