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On Tuesday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) analysts adjusted their financial outlook for Heineken NV (HEIA:NA) (OTC: OTC:HEINY), reducing the beer giant’s price target from EUR 82.00 to EUR 80.00, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. The revision comes ahead of Heineken (AS:HEIN)’s first-quarter sales report, scheduled for release on April 16, 2025.
Analysts at Deutsche Bank anticipate that Heineken will experience organic volume growth of 3.0% in the first quarter of 2025. However, they forecast a slight decline in organic revenue growth of -0.5%, with a price/mix of 2.6%. The expected downturn in revenue growth is attributed to several factors, including the comparison to a leap year, a later Easter, and challenges in specific markets such as Europe and Mexico. Despite these headwinds, a ’normal’ Tet celebration in Vietnam is anticipated.
Heineken is expected to confirm its full-year 2025 organic operating profit guidance, which predicts an increase of 4-8%. Deutsche Bank’s own estimate stands at 5.4%, while the Vuma consensus—a compilation of forecasts from various analysts—suggests a slightly higher expectation of 6.1%.
Investors and market watchers will be closely monitoring Heineken’s performance as the company navigates through the varied market conditions and strives to meet its stated financial targets for the year.
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