Goldman bullish on Microsoft stock - can Azure’s revival fuel a $500 run?

Published 20/11/2024, 09:14
Goldman bullish on Microsoft stock - can Azure’s revival fuel a $500 run?

On Wednesday, Goldman Sachs reaffirmed its confidence in Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) stock, maintaining a Buy rating and a $500.00 price target.

The endorsement comes after Microsoft's showcase of new generative artificial intelligence (Gen-AI) advancements at Ignite 2024, which the firm believes strengthens Microsoft's position as the preferred platform as AI spending shifts towards Platform and Applications layers.

The analyst from Goldman Sachs highlighted the potential of Microsoft's Azure to alleviate capacity constraints through the development of custom chips.

Azure Cobalt is expected to enhance price performance by 50%, while Azure Boost DPU could allow servers to run on three times less power with four times the performance. Additionally, the Maia 100 chip is set to improve the efficiency of Microsoft's AI customer support workloads.

The introduction of AI Foundry, AI Agent Service, and Copilot Studio is anticipated to drive customer adoption of Azure's AI capabilities. The doubling of Azure OpenAI Services consumption within six months showcases the tangible applications customers are finding for these technologies.

Microsoft's M365 Copilot is also seeing significant performance improvements, with twice as fast responses and a threefold increase in response satisfaction.

Goldman Sachs noted the rapid market introduction of significant enhancements to Copilot, such as Copilot Actions, Pages, and Agentic AI, which could accelerate value realization. These improvements, along with a growing AI ecosystem featuring cost management tools, enterprise controls, and security measures, may facilitate broader deployment across Microsoft 365's extensive user base.

Despite Microsoft's stock underperforming the NASDAQ by 8 percentage points since the fourth fiscal quarter of 2024, largely due to a deceleration in Azure's growth, Goldman Sachs anticipates that Azure's potential reacceleration beginning in the third fiscal quarter of 2025 could be the next catalyst for the company's stock performance. This outlook is based on the premise that investments in OpenAI are already reflected in the consensus earnings projections for fiscal year 2026.

In other recent news, Asterion Industrial Partners, in collaboration with Telefonica (NYSE:TEF), has agreed to sell Nabiax, a Spanish data center operator, to Aermont Capital. Nabiax, which is 80% owned by Asterion and 20% by Telefonica, operates two data centers in Madrid and one in Barcelona.

The transaction's financial terms were not disclosed, but sources suggest Nabiax could be worth approximately $1.07 billion. This sale comes as the data center market experiences a surge driven by the growing demand for Artificial Intelligence capabilities.

In the healthcare sector, Tevogen Bio has initiated pre-clinical efforts for TVGN 920, a potential treatment targeting Human Papillomavirus (HPV). The company has partnered with Microsoft to expedite the target identification process for their oncology product using AI and cloud technologies. Tevogen Bio's approach involves training cytotoxic T cells to detect and target specific proteins of the HPV virus.

Microsoft Corporation has reported robust financial results in its Q1 FY2025 earnings call, with significant growth in its cloud and AI sectors. The company's revenue for the quarter stood at $65.6 billion, a 16% increase from the previous year.

Microsoft Cloud generated over $38.9 billion in revenue, a 22% year-on-year increase, and the company's AI business is projected to exceed a $10 billion annual run rate in the upcoming quarter. However, non-AI Azure growth saw a sequential decline of approximately 1 point, and on-premises server revenue decreased by 1%.

Despite these challenges, the company anticipates continued strong demand, projecting Azure revenue to grow by 31-32% in Q2. These are some of the recent developments in the business world.

InvestingPro Insights

Microsoft's strong position in the AI market, as highlighted by Goldman Sachs, is further supported by InvestingPro data and tips. The company's robust financial performance is evident in its revenue growth of 16.44% over the last twelve months, reaching $254.19 billion. This growth aligns with Microsoft's continued innovation in AI and cloud services.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that Microsoft is a "Prominent player in the Software (ETR:SOWGn) industry" and has "Maintained dividend payments for 22 consecutive years," underscoring its stability and market leadership. The company's ability to sustain dividend growth while investing heavily in AI technologies demonstrates its strong cash flow generation.

While Microsoft trades at a high P/E ratio of 34.2, which might seem expensive, it's important to consider this in the context of the company's growth potential in the AI sector. The InvestingPro Fair Value of $409.32 suggests that the stock may be reasonably priced, especially given Goldman Sachs' bullish $500 price target.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Microsoft's potential, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips that could provide valuable insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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