Hochschild stock rally slows—RBC sees inflation and capex weighing on outlook

Published 22/01/2025, 09:32
Hochschild stock rally slows—RBC sees inflation and capex weighing on outlook

On Wednesday, RBC Capital Markets revised their stance on Hochschild Mining Plc (HOC:LN) (OTC: HCHDF), downgrading the stock from Outperform to Sector Perform. The firm also reduced its price target for the company's shares from GBP3.00 to GBP2.60.

The adjustment follows Hochschild Mining's year-end financial performance, which met expectations but faced challenges due to inflation and the Argentinean peso's stability.

According to InvestingPro data, the company has shown robust revenue growth of 9.91% over the last twelve months, with a market capitalization of $1.27 billion.

Marina Calero, an analyst at RBC Capital, pointed out that while the mining company's valuation remains discounted and the forecast for free cash flow in 2025 is positive, the recent guidance downgrades and the stock's significant one-year return of over 170% have prompted a more conservative outlook. The new price target suggests a potential upside of approximately 16% from the current share price.

InvestingPro analysis reveals the stock is trading at a P/E ratio of 41.36, with multiple indicators suggesting strong growth potential. Subscribers can access 8 additional ProTips and comprehensive valuation metrics.

Hochschild Mining has been contending with economic pressures, particularly inflation, which has impacted operational costs and capital expenditure forecasts. The lack of devaluation in the Argentinean peso has also affected the company's cost guidance for the year 2025, which now exceeds the firm's initial projections.

Despite these challenges, RBC Capital maintains that Hochschild Mining's investment case still holds merit, largely due to the anticipated free cash flow inflection point in the fiscal year 2025. However, the recent guidance adjustments have necessitated a more neutral view from the analysts at RBC Capital.

Investors have been closely monitoring Hochschild Mining's financial performance and strategic direction, especially in light of the global economic environment that continues to influence the mining sector. The company's stock performance and future outlook will likely remain a point of interest as market conditions evolve.

In other recent news, Hochschild Mining reported its strongest quarterly production in nearly five years. The company produced 96,327 gold equivalent ounces and 8.0 million silver equivalent ounces in the third quarter, marking a 16% increase over the previous quarter.

This strong performance contributed to a nine-month total of 173,748 ounces of gold and 6.3 million ounces of silver. Hochschild also reiterated its 2024 guidance, projecting 343,000-360,000 gold equivalent ounces.

The CEO, Eduardo Landin, expressed confidence in meeting the annual production target, attributing the company's financial strength to robust cash flow generation and favorable metal prices. The company also reported a cash position of approximately $85 million as of September 30, 2024, and a reduced net debt of approximately $227 million.

The new Mara Rosa operation in Brazil and the continuous improvement program at the Inmaculada mine in Peru were highlighted as key contributors to the recent performance. Additionally, Hochschild's exploration efforts were emphasized, including significant resource drilling at all operating units.

The company's commitment to environmental, social, and governance standards was illustrated through reported metrics such as a Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate of 1.03 and a Water Consumption rate of 137 liters per person per day.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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