Jefferies lowers Constellation Brands stock price target on Hispanic consumer challenges

Published 03/09/2025, 11:24
Jefferies lowers Constellation Brands stock price target on Hispanic consumer challenges

Investing.com - Jefferies has reduced its price target for Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) to $179.00 from $205.00 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The stock, currently trading at $151.26, has declined over 30% year-to-date and is trading near its 52-week low of $149.36.

The price target cut follows what Jefferies describes as continued challenges in the Hispanic consumer segment, which have proven more significant than previously anticipated.

Jefferies noted that despite Constellation reaffirming its fiscal 2026 guidance in the first quarter after a reset, the beer outlook has deteriorated, leading to a 10% reduction in the company’s fiscal 2026 EPS guidance.

The firm indicated that while an inflection in fiscal 2026 appears unlikely, expectations are now lower with easier comparisons ahead and what it considers a cheap multiple of 12.5x earnings.

Jefferies maintained its Buy rating on the stock, suggesting that a multiple of 14x P/E is "undemanding" for Constellation Brands shares.

In other recent news, Constellation Brands reported first-quarter earnings per share of $3.22, which did not meet Wall Street expectations. The shortfall was attributed to softer organic sales growth, challenges in the beer category, and volume declines across key brands. Despite these results, UBS raised its price target for the company to $205, maintaining a Buy rating based on a positive long-term growth outlook. RBC Capital also reiterated its Outperform rating with a price target of $233, expressing a positive outlook despite the challenging quarter.

In corporate actions, Constellation Brands’ board approved equity grants for CFO Garth Hankinson, including restricted stock units and performance share units. The performance share units will be settled in Class A common stock, contingent on specific performance metrics. Evercore ISI has maintained its Outperform rating with a $210 price target, despite potential tariff uncertainties affecting imports from Mexico. Meanwhile, TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating, lowering its fiscal year 2026 earnings per share estimate to $12.62, due to concerns about beer margins and growth.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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