Jefferies maintains Buy on Cheesecake Factory, target at $63

Published 28/03/2025, 11:00
Jefferies maintains Buy on Cheesecake Factory, target at $63

On Friday, Jefferies reiterated a Buy rating on Cheesecake Factory stock (NASDAQ:CAKE), maintaining a price target of $63.00, which sits near the high end of analyst targets ranging from $40 to $67. The stock has shown impressive momentum, delivering a 45% return over the past year. Following a visit to several restaurant locations in Gilbert, Arizona, including a Flower Child, North Italia, and Culinary Dropout, the Jefferies team expressed a positive outlook on the company’s growth trajectory.Get deeper insights into CAKE’s performance with InvestingPro, which offers exclusive analysis and 10+ additional ProTips for informed investment decisions.

The visit, which included time spent with Cheesecake Factory’s CFO Matt Clark and the investor relations team, as well as with Fox Restaurants Concepts founder Sam Fox and President Russell Owens, provided insights into the company’s expansion efforts. The team at Jefferies highlighted the company’s category-leading unit growth, which is over 6%, and the high returns generated by these new units. This expansion strategy has contributed to the company’s solid 4.13% revenue growth over the last twelve months, with total revenue reaching $3.58 billion.

According to the analyst’s remarks, the current market valuation of Cheesecake Factory, with a multiple of approximately 8 times forward EV/EBITDA (current EV/EBITDA stands at 15.1x), does not fully reflect the strength of the company’s growth prospects. The company trades at a P/E ratio of 15.6x and notably, a PEG ratio of just 0.3, suggesting attractive valuation relative to its growth rate. The Jefferies team believes that Cheesecake Factory’s strategic growth vehicles are on a positive path, which is not yet fully recognized by the market.Discover more detailed valuation metrics and comprehensive analysis with InvestingPro’s exclusive research report, available for over 1,400 US stocks.

The Cheesecake Factory , known for its extensive menu and signature cheesecakes, operates a chain of upscale casual dining restaurants across the United States. The company’s commitment to growth through both its namesake brand and other restaurant concepts under its portfolio, including those operated by Fox Restaurant Concepts, is a focal point of Jefferies’ optimistic stance.

The reaffirmed price target of $63.00 by Jefferies suggests confidence in the Cheesecake Factory’s ability to continue expanding and generating strong returns on its new restaurant units. This positive assessment comes amid the company’s efforts to scale its operations and enhance shareholder value.

In other recent news, The Cheesecake Factory reported fourth-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.04, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.91. The company’s revenue for the quarter reached $921 million, a 5% increase from the previous year, and above the anticipated $912.04 million. Comparable restaurant sales rose by 1.7% year-over-year, signaling ongoing consumer interest in the company’s offerings. In terms of future growth, the company has outlined plans to open up to 25 new restaurants in fiscal 2025, including several North Italia and Flower Child locations.

Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James has maintained an Outperform rating on the stock, raising its price target to $60, citing strong fourth-quarter performance and positive sales trends. Piper Sandler also adjusted its outlook, increasing the price target to $51 while maintaining a Neutral stance. Additionally, The Cheesecake Factory announced a $450 million convertible note offering, with plans to allocate up to $130 million of the proceeds for share repurchases. The company’s management remains optimistic about achieving its financial goals, projecting revenue growth and improved store margins in the coming years.

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