Jefferies raises American Eagle price target to $113, holds rating

Published 22/04/2025, 14:06
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On Tuesday, Jefferies analyst Corey Tarlowe increased the price target for American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) shares from $104.00 to $113.00, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. Tarlowe highlighted American Eagle’s strategic financial moves, noting the company has significantly reduced risks to its balance sheet by entering into an equity forward agreement worth over $2 billion in March. The company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 6.13, significantly below industry averages, and InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued based on its Fair Value model.

The analyst’s review of the company’s financials confirmed that American Eagle’s funds from operations (FFO) to debt ratio remains above downgrade/upgrade thresholds. The company maintains strong financial health, with InvestingPro data showing a current ratio of 1.53 and an impressive 22-year streak of consecutive dividend payments. To maintain a FFO/debt ratio within the 14-15% range, Tarlowe emphasized that continued improvement in regulatory outcomes is necessary.

According to Tarlowe, American Eagle is showing signs of progress compared to past performance. Despite these advancements, the analyst suggests that a shadow remains over the stock until the company can secure several substantial regulatory victories. The sentiment is reflected in the decision to maintain the Hold rating. Want deeper insights? InvestingPro offers 8 additional key tips about AEO and a comprehensive Pro Research Report, helping investors make more informed decisions.

The equity forward agreement mentioned by Tarlowe is a notable step in American Eagle’s efforts to strengthen its financial position. Such agreements typically allow a company to sell shares at a predetermined price in the future, providing capital and hedging against market volatility.

American Eagle Outfitters, known for its apparel and accessories, has been navigating a retail landscape that continues to evolve with changing consumer preferences and regulatory challenges. The new price target set by Jefferies reflects an acknowledgment of the company’s recent financial strategies and the potential for future growth, balanced with a cautious view on the need for regulatory improvements.

In other recent news, American Eagle Outfitters Inc. reported normalized earnings for the fourth quarter at $0.54 per share, surpassing consensus estimates by $0.03, though slightly down from $0.61 in the same period last year. Revenue for the quarter was $1.61 billion, which was $5 million above the estimated $1.68 billion. The company announced a $200 million accelerated share repurchase agreement with Bank of America, involving approximately 18.1 million shares, representing about 9.5% of its outstanding stock. This move is part of an existing share repurchase authorization totaling 68.5 million shares, reflecting the company’s strong capital position and confidence in its strategic growth plan.

Additionally, American Eagle has extended its credit program partnership with Synchrony, continuing their collaboration to manage the Real Rewards credit card programs. In leadership changes, Stephanie Pugliese has resigned from American Eagle’s Board of Directors to take on a CEO role at another company, with the company yet to announce her replacement. Analyst firm CFRA adjusted its price target for American Eagle to $17.00 from $20.00, maintaining a Buy rating while noting the challenging macroeconomic environment. American Eagle forecasts a low-single-digit decline in revenue for fiscal year 2026 and projects operating income between $360 million and $375 million.

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