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On Tuesday, JPMorgan analysts revised their stance on Zhejiang Dingli Machinery (603338:CH), upgrading the stock from Underweight to Neutral and increasing the price target to RMB52.00 from RMB40.00. The modification comes after the company’s shares experienced a 10% surge on Monday, following the announcement of temporary tariff cuts between China and the United States.
The analysts at JPMorgan noted that Zhejiang Dingli’s year-to-date performance showed a considerable decline of about 23% compared to the CSI 300 index’s slight decrease of 1%. This decline, they suggest, may have already factored in the concerns regarding the company’s significant exposure to the U.S. market and its lack of supply chain diversification.
While the stock’s rating has been upgraded, JPMorgan does not consider it Overweight due to the persistent sluggish demand within China’s domestic market and intense competition. Additionally, the potential volatility in China-U.S. trade negotiations poses a risk of tariffs on Chinese exports being reinstated, which could impact the company’s performance.
The decision to raise the price target to RMB52.00 is based on Zhejiang Dingli’s recent financial results and guidance. The new target reflects a limited upside from the current price levels, with the stock trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.0 times for the fiscal year 2026 estimates. This valuation is seen as fair when compared to the projected earnings per share (EPS) growth of approximately 12%.
The JPMorgan analysts also addressed the consensus forecasts, which anticipate a profit growth of around 33% for the fiscal year 2025. They cautioned that these expectations might be overly optimistic. They pointed out that the strong results in the first quarter of 2025 were mainly due to product front-loading, which suggests there could be potential downside risks to future earnings.
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