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On Thursday, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods adjusted their financial outlook on Southern Missouri Bancorp (NASDAQ:SMBC) shares, reducing the price target from $70.00 to $68.00. The firm sustained its Market Perform rating on the company. The adjustment followed the release of Southern Missouri Bancorp’s second quarter fiscal year 2024 results, which showed a strong performance attributed to increased net interest income (NII), which rose by 4% quarter-over-quarter. The company’s net interest margin (NIM) remained stable despite the presence of excess liquidity, and there was a reduction in the provision for credit losses.
The financial institution’s asset quality metrics showed signs of stability or improvement. However, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods has incorporated some anticipated credit normalization into their projections, considering the past few years have seen nearly zero net charge-offs (NCOs). This normalization is expected following an extended period of unusually low credit losses.
The recent quarterly performance has led to an upward revision of the fiscal year 2025 earnings estimate by 4%, reflecting a positive short-term outlook based on better-than-expected net interest income. On the other hand, the forecast for fiscal year 2026 was decreased by 3%, taking into account a higher expected provision for credit losses and lower fee income.
Southern Missouri Bancorp’s stock price adjustment to $68 reflects these revised earnings expectations. The firm’s analysis indicates that the bank’s shares are trading roughly in line with its peers, at 11 times the estimated earnings for 2026. With a market capitalization of $665.8 million and revenue growth of 8.4% in the last twelve months, the bank shows promising fundamentals. Discover more detailed insights and 5 additional exclusive ProTips with a subscription to InvestingPro, including comprehensive financial analysis and peer comparison tools. The expected return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) for the fiscal year 2026 stands at 13%, aligning with the profitability levels of similar banking groups.
In other recent news, Southern Missouri Bancorp reported exceeding expectations in its Q2 2025 earnings. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) stood at $1.30, surpassing analyst forecasts of $1.28. Revenue also rose by 4% quarter-over-quarter to reach $45.01 million, outperforming estimates set at $44.61 million. The company’s net interest income saw a significant year-over-year increase of 10.5%, and loan balances rose by $60 million in the quarter, contributing to an 8% year-over-year growth. Southern Missouri Bancorp’s CEO, Greg Steffen, cited an improving yield curve and strong market activity as favorable conditions for earnings growth in the remainder of FY2025. Despite these positive developments, the company also faces challenges such as declining commodity prices and shifts in crop acreage in the agricultural market.
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