Kepler cuts Deutsche Boerse stock rating to hold; keeps EUR280 target

Published 29/04/2025, 09:00
Kepler cuts Deutsche Boerse stock rating to hold; keeps EUR280 target

On Tuesday, Kepler Cheuvreux analyst Tobias Lukesch downgraded Deutsche Boerse (ETR:DB1Gn) AG (DB1:GR) (OTC: DBOEY) stock from Buy to Hold while maintaining a price target of EUR280.00. The revision follows Deutsche Boerse’s release of its first-quarter earnings, which, despite showing a 6% year-over-year increase in earnings per share (EPS) to EUR2.86, fell short of consensus expectations by 2%. According to InvestingPro data, the company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 25x, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its near-term earnings growth potential.

Lukesch noted that while positive volatility is anticipated to continue bolstering Deutsche Boerse’s earnings, there is a possibility that net interest income (NII) may not meet consensus projections in the upcoming quarters. Consequently, while confirming the price target of EUR280, Kepler Cheuvreux has revised its adjusted EPS forecasts downward by 3-5% for the years 2025-2027. The company has demonstrated strong financial performance with revenue growth of 15.2% over the last twelve months, as reported by InvestingPro.

The downgrade to Hold comes after Deutsche Boerse’s stock demonstrated significant growth, with a 35.4% increase year-to-date and a 62.4% surge over the past year, according to InvestingPro data. Lukesch suggests taking a pause to assess the stock’s performance, which has been robust prior to this reassessment. The stock is currently trading near its 52-week high of $32.31.

Deutsche Boerse’s solid quarterly results, with an increase in EPS, indicate the company’s strong financial performance, yet the market consensus had anticipated even higher outcomes. The hold rating reflects a more cautious approach by Kepler Cheuvreux in light of the potential for NII revenue to underperform expectations.

Investors and market watchers will keep an eye on Deutsche Boerse’s future performance, particularly in terms of net interest income, as it could impact the stock’s valuation and Kepler Cheuvreux’s analysis. The maintained price target, despite the downgrade, suggests that while immediate growth prospects may be limited, the firm’s long-term outlook remains positive.

In other recent news, Deutsche Boerse AG has seen positive developments in its financial outlook and analyst evaluations. BNP Paribas (OTC:BNPQY) Exane has increased its price target for Deutsche Boerse to €283.00 from €269.00, maintaining an Outperform rating. This adjustment is based on Deutsche Boerse’s strong earnings momentum, especially in rates and energy trading, and its attractive valuation compared to peers. Similarly, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods has raised its price target for the company to €263.00 from €247.00, following earnings that exceeded both its own and consensus estimates.

Deutsche Boerse’s earnings per share (EPS) surpassed expectations by €0.22 according to Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, and by €0.33 compared to consensus estimates. The better-than-expected earnings were driven by higher revenues, reduced operating expenses, and improved results from financial investments. Notably, stronger Net Interest Income (NII) from Securities Services played a significant role in the revenue beat. Analysts from both firms highlight Deutsche Boerse’s exposure to growth opportunities in funds, data, and custody services as well as its defensive qualities in derivatives. These developments suggest a positive outlook for Deutsche Boerse’s future earnings potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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