KeyBanc cuts Applied Industrial Tech target to $275

Published 17/03/2025, 13:42
KeyBanc cuts Applied Industrial Tech target to $275

On Monday, KeyBanc Capital Markets adjusted its price target on shares of Applied Industrial Technologies (NYSE:AIT), bringing it down to $275 from the previous $325 while maintaining an Overweight rating on the stock. Currently trading at $224.71, the stock sits below the analyst consensus range of $265-$320. The revision reflects a more conservative stance due to increased macroeconomic uncertainty, although the firm still sees the recent decline in the company’s share price as an opportunity for investors. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock has shown mixed signals, with a -6% YTD return but maintaining strong fundamentals with an overall Financial Health score of "GREAT."

Ken Newman of KeyBanc highlighted the company’s consistent performance, noting that Applied Industrial Technologies has been able to maintain or even improve its gross and EBIT margins since 2018, with current gross margins at 30.09%. This success is attributed to the company’s strategic focus on its Engineered Solutions business, which benefits from ongoing trends in reshoring and automation. The company’s strong execution is reflected in its impressive return on equity of 23% and return on invested capital of 17%.

The firm also recognizes the strength of Applied Industrial Technologies’ balance sheet, especially after the Hydradyne acquisition, which left the company with a leverage ratio of around 0.5x. With a current ratio of 3.76 and debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.32, InvestingPro data confirms the company’s strong financial position. KeyBanc suggests that the company’s ability to engage in strategic mergers and acquisitions, particularly in high-margin and high-growth areas, is a key component of its growth strategy and could mitigate concerns regarding a potential extended downturn in industrial capital expenditures. Notably, the company has maintained dividend payments for 55 consecutive years, demonstrating consistent financial discipline.

The new price target of $275 by KeyBanc implies valuation multiples of 17.2x and 16.1x enterprise value to EBITDA for the years 2026 and 2027, respectively. This is compared to the company’s historical average of 10.7x, with the current EV/EBITDA ratio at 16.16x. This indicates a more optimistic outlook from the firm despite the lowered target. Newman’s commentary underscores the belief that Applied Industrial Technologies’ strategic initiatives and financial discipline position it well within its sector. For deeper insights into AIT’s valuation and growth prospects, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro, which includes detailed analysis of the company’s financial health, valuation metrics, and growth potential.

In other recent news, Applied Industrial Technologies reported its Q2 2024 earnings, highlighting a significant rise in earnings per share (EPS) to $2.39, surpassing the anticipated $2.22. Despite this, the company’s revenue slightly missed expectations, reaching $1.07 billion compared to the forecast of $1.08 billion. The company has raised its full-year 2025 EPS guidance to a range of $9.65 to $10.05, indicating confidence in its strategic initiatives. Additionally, Applied Industrial Technologies has completed the acquisition of Hydrodyne, aiming to enhance its Engineered Solutions segment, which now accounts for nearly 40% of total sales. Analyst firms like Baird and KeyBanc Capital Markets have been actively discussing the company’s performance, with no specific upgrades or downgrades mentioned. The acquisition is expected to bring in $260 million in sales and $30 million in EBITDA in the first year, with anticipated synergies of $5-10 million over three years. Applied Industrial Technologies continues to focus on expanding its market presence and improving its financial outcomes through strategic acquisitions and operational enhancements.

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