KeyBanc lowers Winnebago stock price target on weaker guidance

Published 26/06/2025, 13:22
KeyBanc lowers Winnebago stock price target on weaker guidance

Investing.com - KeyBanc Capital Markets reduced its price target on Winnebago Industries (NYSE:WGO) to $34.00 from $37.00 on Thursday, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the recreational vehicle manufacturer’s stock. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears undervalued at its current price of $28.24, trading near its 52-week low of $28.19.

The price target adjustment follows Winnebago’s fiscal third-quarter results, which showed slight beats on adjusted earnings per share and revenue, aligning with preliminary guidance the company issued on June 5. Despite the modest outperformance, Winnebago significantly lowered its fiscal 2025 outlook. The company, currently valued at $796 million in market capitalization, maintains a healthy current ratio of 2.41, indicating strong short-term liquidity.

The RV maker now expects fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $1.20-$1.70, down from its previous forecast of $2.75-$3.75, and projects revenue of $2.7 billion to $2.8 billion, reduced from $2.8 billion to $3.0 billion previously.

KeyBanc characterized the market’s reaction to Winnebago’s results as "overdone," while acknowledging broader macroeconomic uncertainty affecting the leisure vehicle industry. The firm noted Winnebago’s commitment to maintaining healthy inventory levels through a "measured shipment strategy" aligned with current market conditions.

The research firm continues to view Winnebago as well-positioned within the RV sector, citing the company’s historical market share resilience and disciplined approach to shipments, factors that supported KeyBanc’s decision to maintain its Overweight rating despite lowering earnings estimates.

In other recent news, Winnebago Industries reported disappointing third-quarter earnings for fiscal 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.81, falling short of the projected $0.90, and revenue reaching $775.1 million, slightly below the expected $779.46 million. The company has revised its full-year fiscal 2025 guidance, lowering its EPS forecast to between $1.20 and $1.70 and revenue expectations to $2.7-$2.8 billion. Truist Securities responded by lowering its price target for Winnebago to $36 from $40, while maintaining a Buy rating, citing a cautious outlook for the second half of 2025 due to consumer uncertainty and potential tariff impacts. Despite these challenges, Winnebago noted market share gains in several motorhome categories and expects new product launches to drive future growth. The company also highlighted its efforts to improve operational efficiency and cost management in response to the challenging market conditions. Winnebago’s management expressed a commitment to enhancing the value proposition of its motorhome offerings and addressing operational inefficiencies. Truist Securities emphasized that a sustained industry recovery would be necessary for significant stock appreciation, while also noting that the current valuation might present an opportunity for long-term investors.

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